Tue, Dec 7, 2021·United Center, Chicago
New York Rangers 6, Chicago Blackhawks 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 58% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 19 | 113 | 48 | 630 |
| CHI | 29 | 08 | 09 | 226 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:01NYRJacob TroubaAssists: Artemi Panarin, Ryan Strome · Wrist, 0.02 xG1–0
- P1 1:44CHIErik GustafssonUnassisted · Wrist, 0.02 xG1–1
- P1 7:09CHIKirby DachAssists: Alex DeBrincat, Dylan Strome · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–2
- P2 3:19NYRArtemi PanarinPPAssists: Mika Zibanejad, Chris Kreider · Snap, 0.12 xG2–2
- P3 4:59NYRChris KreiderPPGWGAssists: Adam Fox, Artemi Panarin · Tip-in, 0.13 xG3–2
- P3 12:10NYRKevin RooneyAssists: Adam Fox, Ryan Reaves · Wrist, 0.05 xG4–2
- P3 16:50NYRArtemi PanarinENAssists: Jacob Trouba, Mika Zibanejad · Backhand, 0.68 xG5–2
- P3 18:41NYRBarclay GoodrowAssists: Ryan Reaves, Kevin Rooney · Wrist, 0.24 xG6–2
Penalties (13)
- P2 2:05CHIHenrik Borgstrom: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 7:15NYRArtemi Panarin: Boarding2 min
- P2 11:30NYRJacob Trouba: Fighting5 min
- P2 11:30CHIRiley Stillman: Fighting5 min
- P2 14:03NYRDryden Hunt: High sticking2 min
- P2 19:53NYRK'Andre Miller: Tripping2 min
- P3 3:52CHIKirby Dach: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P3 5:49NYRJacob Trouba: Hooking2 min
- P3 17:08CHIRyan Carpenter: Boarding2 min
- P3 17:08CHIRyan Carpenter: Roughing2 min
- P3 17:08NYRRyan Strome: Roughing2 min
- P3 17:08NYRRyan Strome: Roughing2 min
- P3 17:08NYRRyan Strome: Misconduct10 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zibanejad won the faceoff against Dach
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestStrome – Hunt – Panarin12:04
xG 0.63–0.16 (79%)attempts 13–3goals 1–0
- Reaves – Goodrow – Rooney9:46
xG 0.52–0.33 (61%)attempts 7–8goals 2–0
- Kreider – Zibanejad – Kakko10:50
xG 0.50–0.58 (46%)attempts 7–8goals 0–1
- Gauthier – Chytil – Lafrenière10:01
xG 0.22–0.44 (34%)attempts 7–18goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Nemeth – Lundkvist10:42
xG 0.54–0.52 (51%)attempts 11–14goals 1–1
- Nemeth – Lindgren2:06
xG 0.00–0.04 (0%)attempts 0–1goals 0–0
- Trouba – Miller16:24
xG 0.60–0.70 (46%)attempts 12–18goals 1–1
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestKhaira – Carpenter – Slavin5:39
xG 0.61–0.36 (63%)attempts 11–5goals 0–0
- Toews – Hagel – Johnson4:06
xG 0.22–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Kubalik – Borgstrom – Johnson3:02
xG 0.24–0.07 (77%)attempts 5–6goals 0–0
- Kane – DeBrincat – Dach3:55
xG 0.14–0.03 (80%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestStillman – Kalynuk4:04
xG 0.24–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- de Haan – Jones13:56
xG 0.74–0.50 (60%)attempts 12–8goals 1–0
- Gustafsson – Stillman4:37
xG 0.40–0.32 (56%)attempts 9–4goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 58% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).