Wed, Dec 8, 2021·Prudential Center, Newark
Philadelphia Flyers 0, New Jersey Devils 3
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 83% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 09 | 05 | 011 | 025 |
| NJD | 011 | 211 | 15 | 327 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 5:30NJDJesper BrattGWGAssists: Nico Hischier, Damon Severson · Snap, 0.05 xG0–1
- P2 11:35NJDDawson MercerPPAssists: Ty Smith, Jesper Bratt · Tip-in, 0.15 xG0–2
- P3 19:30NJDMichael McLeodENAssists: Jack Hughes, Yegor Sharangovich · Backhand, 0.77 xG0–3
Penalties (5)
- P1 9:06PHIJames van Riemsdyk: Cross checking2 min
- P2 6:38NJDAndreas Johnsson: Interference2 min
- P2 9:55PHITravis Konecny: Interference goalkeeper2 min · PPG
- P2 13:51NJDDamon Severson: Hooking2 min
- P2 19:54PHISean Couturier: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Couturier won the faceoff against Hischier
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestGiroux – Couturier – Konecny5:53
xG 0.39–0.16 (71%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
- Brown – Lindblom – MacEwen5:41
xG 0.18–0.06 (76%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- Brassard – van Riemsdyk – Frost3:49
xG 0.15–0.04 (77%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Couturier – Lindblom – Konecny6:37
xG 0.24–0.31 (44%)attempts 6–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Ristolainen – Sanheim17:44
xG 0.49–0.60 (45%)attempts 11–17goals 0–1
- Yandle – Seeler9:28
xG 0.08–0.26 (23%)attempts 7–10goals 0–0
- Braun – Provorov18:01
xG 0.63–1.08 (37%)attempts 13–19goals 0–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestBastian – McLeod – Kuokkanen4:45
xG 0.40–0.00 (100%)attempts 7–0goals 0–0
- Tatar – Vesey – Mercer9:15
xG 0.37–0.24 (61%)attempts 10–6goals 0–0
- Zacha – Bratt – Hischier13:08
xG 0.37–0.30 (55%)attempts 9–6goals 1–0
- Johnsson – Sharangovich – Hughes10:07
xG 0.42–0.50 (45%)attempts 10–14goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSeverson – Siegenthaler12:35
xG 0.70–0.30 (70%)attempts 12–6goals 1–0
- Subban – Smith12:21
xG 0.60–0.30 (67%)attempts 13–8goals 0–0
- Subban – Siegenthaler2:46
xG 0.10–0.05 (65%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it PHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 83% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − PHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).