Sat, Dec 11, 2021·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Minnesota Wild 1, Los Angeles Kings 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 62% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 08 | 18 | 015 | 131 |
| LAK | 013 | 112 | 112 | 237 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 13:11MINMarcus FolignoPPAssists: Mathew Dumba, Kevin Fiala · Tip-in, 0.13 xG1–0
- P2 14:29LAKPhillip DanaultAssists: Drew Doughty · Wrist, 0.15 xG1–1
- P3 9:15LAKBrendan LemieuxGWGAssists: Trevor Moore, Carl Grundstrom · Slap, 0.18 xG1–2
Penalties (7)
- P1 2:57MINKirill Kaprizov: Hooking2 min
- P1 7:37MINJoel Eriksson Ek: Slashing2 min
- P1 16:10MINKaapo Kahkonen: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 2:45LAKDrew Doughty: Interference2 min
- P2 5:15MINAlex Goligoski: Slashing2 min
- P2 11:14LAKDrew Doughty: Interference2 min · PPG
- P3 2:31MINMathew Dumba: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Danault won the faceoff against Eriksson Ek
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Minnesota Wild
Forward lines
- Foligno – Greenway – Eriksson Ek9:20
xG 0.19–0.27 (42%)attempts 5–12goals 0–0
- Zuccarello – Hartman – Kaprizov10:03
xG 0.70–0.82 (46%)attempts 10–15goals 0–0
- Bjugstad – Shaw – Sturm4:52
xG 0.22–0.35 (38%)attempts 5–6goals 0–1
- Rask – Fiala – Duhaime8:45
xG 0.29–0.55 (34%)attempts 6–9goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestBenn – Kulikov11:01
xG 0.82–0.18 (82%)attempts 11–8goals 0–0
- Goligoski – Spurgeon14:26
xG 0.49–0.63 (44%)attempts 14–17goals 0–0
- Benn – Dumba2:26
xG 0.00–0.23 (0%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestDanault – Arvidsson – Iafallo10:53
xG 1.41–0.12 (92%)attempts 23–5goals 1–0
- Lemieux – Grundstrom – Moore8:43
xG 0.84–0.59 (59%)attempts 13–10goals 1–0
- Athanasiou – Kupari – Kaliyev9:14
xG 0.26–0.25 (51%)attempts 5–8goals 0–0
- Brown – Kopitar – Kempe10:19
xG 0.39–0.72 (35%)attempts 13–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDoughty – Durzi3:32
xG 0.47–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–0goals 1–0
- Roy – Bjornfot8:59
xG 0.57–0.14 (80%)attempts 11–5goals 0–0
- Roy – Durzi3:56
xG 0.29–0.03 (91%)attempts 8–3goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it MIN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 62% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − MIN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).