Tue, Dec 14, 2021·TD Garden, Boston
Vegas Golden Knights 4, Boston Bruins 1
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 71% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VGK | 310 | 18 | 07 | 425 |
| BOS | 07 | 09 | 18 | 124 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 13:04VGKShea TheodoreAssists: Ben Hutton, Chandler Stephenson · Slap, 0.02 xG1–0
- P1 15:19VGKMax PaciorettyGWGAssists: Chandler Stephenson, Mark Stone · Wrist, 0.14 xG2–0
- P1 19:59VGKJonathan MarchessaultPPAssists: Alex Pietrangelo, Reilly Smith · Wrist, 0.10 xG3–0
- P2 5:06VGKMax PaciorettyAssists: Mark Stone, Chandler Stephenson · Wrist, 0.03 xG4–0
- P3 0:21BOSPatrice BergeronAssists: Taylor Hall · Snap, 0.20 xG4–1
Penalties (2)
- P1 5:29VGKBrett Howden: Holding the stick2 min
- P1 19:41BOSJohn Moore: High sticking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Karlsson won the faceoff against Bergeron
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vegas Golden Knights
Forward lines
- bestPacioretty – Stone – Stephenson13:02
xG 0.60–0.05 (92%)attempts 13–9goals 3–0
- Carrier – Amadio – Howden10:35
xG 0.52–0.20 (72%)attempts 11–11goals 0–0
- Dadonov – Janmark – Kolesar10:48
xG 0.31–0.17 (64%)attempts 9–10goals 0–0
- Smith – Karlsson – Marchessault11:59
xG 0.23–0.52 (31%)attempts 10–10goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestHutton – Theodore13:40
xG 0.74–0.10 (88%)attempts 20–8goals 2–0
- Pietrangelo – Theodore2:10
xG 0.30–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Pietrangelo – Hague18:32
xG 0.36–0.25 (59%)attempts 10–14goals 0–0
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestFoligno – Lazar – Frederic7:07
xG 0.20–0.04 (84%)attempts 8–2goals 0–0
- Bergeron – Hall – Pastrnak13:39
xG 0.41–0.33 (56%)attempts 14–10goals 1–0
- Blidh – Lazar – Frederic4:57
xG 0.07–0.06 (53%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
- Nosek – DeBrusk – Kuhlman5:34
xG 0.03–0.05 (38%)attempts 2–4goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestForbort – Clifton9:32
xG 0.20–0.01 (95%)attempts 9–2goals 0–0
- Forbort – Carlo2:11
xG 0.15–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
- Moore – McAvoy2:44
xG 0.11–0.11 (52%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it VGK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 71% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − VGK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).