Tue, Dec 14, 2021·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Seattle Kraken 3, San Jose Sharks 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 53% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 011 | 07 | 312 | 330 |
| SJS | 08 | 012 | 114 | 134 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P3 6:23SEARyan DonatoAssists: Joonas Donskoi, Carson Soucy · Backhand, 0.24 xG1–0
- P3 14:18SEABrandon TanevGWGAssists: Morgan Geekie, Calle Jarnkrok · Wrist, 0.10 xG2–0
- P3 17:53SJSLogan CoutureAssists: Brent Burns, Tomas Hertl · Slap, 0.11 xG2–1
- P3 19:54SEACalle JarnkrokENAssists: Mason Appleton, Alexander Wennberg · Wrist, 0.76 xG3–1
Penalties (1)
- P2 14:59SEAVince Dunn: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hertl won the faceoff against True
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestEberle – Schwartz – McCann14:06
xG 0.71–0.42 (63%)attempts 17–12goals 0–0
- Donskoi – Donato – True8:49
xG 0.38–0.22 (63%)attempts 4–8goals 1–0
- Johansson – Wennberg – Appleton14:13
xG 0.54–0.55 (50%)attempts 18–7goals 0–0
- Jarnkrok – Tanev – Geekie9:12
xG 0.31–0.75 (29%)attempts 6–13goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestLarsson – Dunn15:29
xG 0.57–0.34 (62%)attempts 15–10goals 1–0
- Giordano – Oleksiak13:54
xG 0.66–0.63 (51%)attempts 17–15goals 0–0
- Soucy – Lauzon11:54
xG 0.09–0.19 (31%)attempts 7–7goals 0–0
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestCouture – Dahlen – Gregor10:56
xG 0.75–0.44 (63%)attempts 17–10goals 0–0
- Pederson – Gadjovich – Weatherby7:17
xG 0.41–0.37 (53%)attempts 5–4goals 0–1
- Cogliano – Bonino – Nieto11:27
xG 0.25–0.21 (54%)attempts 7–9goals 0–0
- Hertl – Meier – Dahlen2:46
xG 0.05–0.13 (29%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKarlsson – Middleton16:27
xG 0.69–0.34 (67%)attempts 15–12goals 0–0
- Vlasic – Simek10:58
xG 0.55–0.45 (55%)attempts 10–6goals 0–1
- Burns – Ferraro18:46
xG 0.82–1.03 (44%)attempts 16–22goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it SEA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 53% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − SEA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).