Wed, Dec 15, 2021·Honda Center, Anaheim
Seattle Kraken 1, Anaheim Ducks 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 66% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 06 | 19 | 05 | 120 |
| ANA | 212 | 16 | 16 | 424 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 10:04ANATrevor ZegrasAssists: Sonny Milano, Kevin Shattenkirk · Wrist, 0.07 xG0–1
- P1 15:25ANADerek GrantSHGWGUnassisted · Snap, 0.15 xG0–2
- P2 1:52ANATroy TerryPPAssists: Sam Steel, Jakob Silfverberg · Wrist, 0.18 xG0–3
- P2 14:26SEARyan DonatoPPAssists: Jordan Eberle, Vince Dunn · Snap, 0.14 xG1–3
- P3 8:19ANASam CarrickAssists: Simon Benoit, Buddy Robinson · Slap, 0.11 xG1–4
Penalties (8)
- P1 14:54ANASam Carrick: Cross checking2 min
- P2 0:45SEAMark Giordano: Holding2 min · PPG
- P2 10:29ANASam Carrick: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P2 10:29SEAJaden Schwartz: Roughing2 min
- P2 12:29ANARickard Rakell: Too many men on the ice2 min · PPG
- P3 0:27ANAJakob Silfverberg: Tripping2 min
- P3 4:42SEAWill Borgen: Interference2 min
- P3 9:29ANATroy Terry: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00McCann won the faceoff against Getzlaf
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestEberle – Schwartz – McCann11:42
xG 0.50–0.29 (63%)attempts 15–9goals 0–1
- Jarnkrok – Tanev – Geekie5:28
xG 0.25–0.31 (45%)attempts 7–8goals 0–0
- Appleton – Tanev – Geekie3:36
xG 0.00–0.09 (0%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
- Donskoi – Donato – True7:45
xG 0.00–0.19 (0%)attempts 1–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Giordano – Dunn2:35
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–1goals 0–0
- Larsson – Dunn10:45
xG 0.07–0.13 (37%)attempts 9–5goals 0–0
- Larsson – Fleury3:10
xG 0.00–0.14 (0%)attempts 0–3goals 0–0
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestDeslauriers – Carrick – Robinson7:19
xG 0.48–0.19 (72%)attempts 8–10goals 1–0
- Grant – Silfverberg – Lundeström8:12
xG 0.33–0.11 (75%)attempts 10–7goals 0–0
- Rakell – Milano – Zegras13:43
xG 0.51–0.33 (61%)attempts 14–8goals 1–0
- Getzlaf – Terry – Steel12:10
xG 0.33–0.20 (62%)attempts 9–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestShattenkirk – Benoit12:03
xG 0.89–0.39 (70%)attempts 13–14goals 1–0
- Fowler – Manson18:26
xG 0.46–0.27 (63%)attempts 18–10goals 0–0
- Lindholm – Drysdale13:33
xG 0.41–0.22 (65%)attempts 10–9goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it SEA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 66% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − SEA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).