Thu, Dec 16, 2021·Centre Bell, Montreal
Philadelphia Flyers 2, Montréal Canadiens 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 77% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 08 | 214 | 011 | 06 | 0 | 239 |
| MTL | 119 | 011 | 18 | 02 | 1 | 340 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 5:20MTLArtturi LehkonenAssists: Brett Kulak, Alexander Romanov · Wrist, 0.28 xG0–1
- P2 2:20PHIMax WillmanAssists: James van Riemsdyk, Kevin Hayes · Wrist, 0.10 xG1–1
- P2 19:00PHIJackson CatesAssists: Patrick Brown, Travis Sanheim · Wrist, 0.05 xG2–1
- P3 14:21MTLLaurent DauphinAssists: Ben Chiarot, David Savard · Wrist, 0.25 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. MTL Jonathan Drouin scored
- 2. PHI Sean Couturier stopped
- 3. MTL Cole Caufield stopped
- 4. PHI Claude Giroux stopped
- 5. MTL Mike Hoffman stopped
- 6. PHI Cam Atkinson stopped
Penalties (4)
- P1 2:33PHIZack MacEwen: Interference2 min
- P1 13:31PHIScott Laughton: Hooking2 min
- P2 12:25MTLJoel Armia: Tripping2 min
- OT 0:44MTLBen Chiarot: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Suzuki won the faceoff against Couturier
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- van Riemsdyk – Hayes – Willman9:27
xG 0.45–0.63 (42%)attempts 10–7goals 1–0
- Brown – MacEwen – Cates5:36
xG 0.27–0.51 (34%)attempts 9–6goals 1–0
- Giroux – Atkinson – Lindblom11:32
xG 0.17–0.51 (26%)attempts 7–12goals 0–0
- Couturier – Laughton – Konecny14:25
xG 0.41–1.30 (24%)attempts 10–16goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Ristolainen – Sanheim19:02
xG 0.87–1.11 (44%)attempts 21–13goals 1–1
- Yandle – Connauton12:07
xG 0.45–1.28 (26%)attempts 12–13goals 1–1
- Braun – Provorov18:11
xG 0.20–1.28 (13%)attempts 14–23goals 0–0
Montréal Canadiens
Forward lines
- bestLehkonen – Poehling – Caufield10:01
xG 1.40–0.14 (91%)attempts 14–8goals 0–0
- Armia – Paquette – Pezzetta6:04
xG 0.48–0.21 (70%)attempts 5–6goals 0–0
- Hoffman – Evans – Suzuki13:15
xG 0.32–0.17 (65%)attempts 16–9goals 0–1
- Dauphin – Drouin – Ylonen12:23
xG 0.88–0.76 (54%)attempts 10–12goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestSavard – Chiarot18:28
xG 1.63–0.37 (81%)attempts 25–13goals 1–0
- Kulak – Clague12:50
xG 0.77–0.40 (66%)attempts 12–11goals 0–0
- Petry – Romanov18:03
xG 1.01–0.88 (54%)attempts 12–24goals 0–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
MTL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line MTL is favoured, below it PHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 77% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (MTL − PHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).