Thu, Dec 16, 2021·Rogers Place, Edmonton
Columbus Blue Jackets 2, Edmonton Oilers 5
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 83% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 010 | 014 | 214 | 238 |
| EDM | 314 | 115 | 116 | 545 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:24EDMJesse PuljujarviPPAssists: Tyson Barrie, Leon Draisaitl · Backhand, 0.40 xG0–1
- P1 8:10EDMJesse PuljujarviPPAssists: Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, Connor McDavid · Wrist, 0.19 xG0–2
- P1 11:07EDMDerek RyanGWGAssists: Brendan Perlini · Wrist, 0.35 xG0–3
- P2 16:41EDMBrendan PerliniAssists: Zack Kassian, Evan Bouchard · Snap, 0.18 xG0–4
- P3 6:28CBJGustav NyquistAssists: Cole Sillinger, Jake Bean · Backhand, 0.30 xG1–4
- P3 16:36CBJJustin DanforthAssists: Zach Werenski, Sean Kuraly · Backhand, 0.15 xG2–4
- P3 17:06EDMWarren FoegeleENAssists: Jesse Puljujarvi, Connor McDavid · Backhand, 0.78 xG2–5
Penalties (8)
- P1 1:12EDMZack Kassian: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P1 6:19CBJElvis Merzlikins: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 6:19CBJJakub Voracek: Playing without a helmet2 min · PPG
- P1 15:30EDMDuncan Keith: Cross checking2 min
- P1 15:46CBJBoone Jenner: Hooking2 min
- P2 4:26EDMEvan Bouchard: Tripping2 min
- P2 10:57CBJJake Bean: Holding2 min
- P2 13:46CBJJake Bean: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Draisaitl won the faceoff against Jenner
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestVoracek – Domi – Roslovic8:33
xG 0.72–0.29 (71%)attempts 10–9goals 0–0
- Kuraly – Danforth – Robinson10:07
xG 0.48–0.71 (40%)attempts 11–9goals 1–0
- Jenner – Bjorkstrand – Texier13:46
xG 0.37–0.64 (37%)attempts 14–12goals 0–0
- Nyquist – Chinakhov – Sillinger9:40
xG 0.61–0.92 (40%)attempts 11–10goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestWerenski – Bayreuther2:09
xG 0.64–0.00 (100%)attempts 7–0goals 0–0
- Carlsson – Peeke3:47
xG 0.07–0.04 (64%)attempts 8–4goals 0–0
- Gavrikov – Peeke7:24
xG 0.23–0.34 (40%)attempts 8–5goals 0–0
Edmonton Oilers
Forward lines
- bestKassian – Perlini – Ryan9:29
xG 1.25–0.10 (92%)attempts 14–8goals 2–0
- Foegele – McDavid – Puljujarvi11:55
xG 1.27–0.78 (62%)attempts 17–14goals 0–0
- Turris – Sceviour – Benson6:48
xG 0.18–0.10 (64%)attempts 5–8goals 0–0
- Nugent-Hopkins – Draisaitl – Yamamoto10:23
xG 0.11–0.93 (11%)attempts 5–12goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestBarrie – Lagesson8:45
xG 1.09–0.13 (90%)attempts 13–5goals 1–0
- Nurse – Bouchard17:48
xG 1.35–0.87 (61%)attempts 17–23goals 1–0
- Keith – Ceci16:02
xG 0.73–0.84 (47%)attempts 12–16goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
EDM's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line EDM is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 83% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (EDM − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).