Thu, Dec 16, 2021·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Vancouver Canucks 5, San Jose Sharks 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 58% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 210 | 15 | 215 | 530 |
| SJS | 113 | 012 | 111 | 236 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 12:41VANBrock BoeserAssists: Tanner Pearson · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–0
- P1 16:23VANBo HorvatPPAssists: J.T. Miller, Quinn Hughes · Wrist, 0.07 xG2–0
- P1 17:22SJSTimo MeierAssists: Erik Karlsson, Tomas Hertl · Wrist, 0.04 xG2–1
- P2 17:17VANBrock BoeserGWGAssists: J.T. Miller, Tanner Pearson · Wrist, 0.06 xG3–1
- P3 8:29SJSAndrew CoglianoAssists: Lane Pederson, Brent Burns · Wrist, 0.13 xG3–2
- P3 17:32VANJ.T. MillerUnassisted · Wrist, 0.06 xG4–2
- P3 18:57VANJason DickinsonENAssists: Elias Pettersson, Kyle Burroughs · Wrist, 0.78 xG5–2
Penalties (4)
- P1 15:01SJSLogan Couture: Kneeing2 min · PPG
- P2 7:02SJSJayden Halbgewachs: Holding2 min
- P2 10:08VANTyler Myers: Illegal check to head2 min
- P3 3:19SJSBrent Burns: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Miller won the faceoff against Couture
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestDickinson – Horvat – Hoglander10:28
xG 0.63–0.11 (85%)attempts 13–8goals 0–0
- Miller – Pearson – Boeser13:19
xG 0.60–0.15 (80%)attempts 18–9goals 3–0
- Chiasson – Dowling – Motte5:27
xG 0.16–0.22 (43%)attempts 2–6goals 0–1
- Garland – Pettersson – Podkolzin11:01
xG 0.19–0.59 (24%)attempts 6–12goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestMyers – Hughes16:37
xG 1.00–0.23 (81%)attempts 22–9goals 3–0
- Myers – Burroughs3:47
xG 0.08–0.02 (85%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Burroughs – Brisebois3:17
xG 0.00–0.12 (0%)attempts 0–4goals 0–1
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestCogliano – Pederson – Weatherby5:50
xG 0.56–0.19 (75%)attempts 5–6goals 1–1
- Couture – Meier – Dahlen14:34
xG 0.64–0.49 (57%)attempts 14–13goals 0–0
- Hertl – Halbgewachs – Barabanov12:36
xG 0.47–0.36 (56%)attempts 14–8goals 0–0
- Bonino – Nieto – Gregor7:35
xG 0.17–0.21 (45%)attempts 6–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestVlasic – Simek11:05
xG 0.42–0.03 (93%)attempts 11–3goals 0–0
- Karlsson – Middleton12:10
xG 0.63–0.34 (65%)attempts 18–8goals 1–0
- Karlsson – Ferraro6:29
xG 0.54–0.41 (57%)attempts 6–9goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 58% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).