Sun, Apr 24, 2022·Centre Bell, Montreal
Boston Bruins 5, Montréal Canadiens 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 72% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 217 | 214 | 111 | 542 |
| MTL | 08 | 18 | 210 | 326 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 15:03BOSPatrice BergeronAssists: Jake DeBrusk, Brad Marchand · Wrist, 0.27 xG1–0
- P1 18:03BOSErik HaulaUnassisted · Wrist, 0.24 xG2–0
- P2 1:51MTLJosh AndersonPPAssists: Brendan Gallagher, Jeff Petry · Backhand, 0.17 xG2–1
- P2 4:04BOSErik HaulaAssists: Tomas Nosek, Connor Clifton · Wrist, 0.09 xG3–1
- P2 18:09BOSCharlie McAvoyGWGAssists: Patrice Bergeron · Wrist, 0.02 xG4–1
- P3 3:13MTLMike HoffmanPPAssists: Jeff Petry, Christian Dvorak · Slap, 0.07 xG4–2
- P3 7:19MTLNick SuzukiAssists: Mathieu Perreault, Michael Pezzetta · Wrist, 0.06 xG4–3
- P3 19:53BOSPatrice BergeronENAssists: Brad Marchand · Wrist, 0.73 xG5–3
Penalties (12)
- P1 6:23MTLJoel Edmundson: Tripping2 min
- P1 10:55MTLJosh Anderson: Roughing2 min
- P1 10:55BOSDerek Forbort: Roughing2 min
- P1 18:03MTLMike Hoffman: Penalty shot slash on breakaway0 min
- P1 18:52BOSBrad Marchand: Roughing2 min
- P1 0:00BOSTrent Frederic: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min · PPG
- P2 5:16BOSErik Haula: Interference2 min
- P2 5:16MTLJake Evans: Embellishment2 min
- P2 5:47BOSMatt Grzelcyk: Tripping2 min
- P2 16:12BOSBrad Marchand: Slashing2 min
- P2 16:12MTLJosh Anderson: Cross checking2 min
- P3 3:10BOSMarc McLaughlin: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Suzuki won the faceoff against Bergeron
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestBergeron – Marchand – DeBrusk8:46
xG 0.61–0.07 (90%)attempts 9–3goals 1–0
- Haula – Hall – Nosek7:40
xG 0.68–0.20 (78%)attempts 13–5goals 1–1
- Foligno – Lazar – McLaughlin7:55
xG 0.27–0.27 (50%)attempts 8–8goals 0–0
- Smith – Coyle – Frederic9:13
xG 0.23–0.28 (45%)attempts 7–13goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGrzelcyk – McAvoy13:26
xG 1.11–0.10 (92%)attempts 21–10goals 2–0
- Grzelcyk – Carlo2:18
xG 0.39–0.06 (88%)attempts 2–1goals 0–1
- Forbort – Clifton11:59
xG 0.34–0.31 (52%)attempts 9–12goals 0–0
Montréal Canadiens
Forward lines
- bestPitlick – Anderson – Dvorak4:08
xG 0.24–0.02 (93%)attempts 7–3goals 0–0
- Gallagher – Evans – Pitlick9:38
xG 0.14–0.25 (36%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
- Perreault – Pitlick – Dauphin3:02
xG 0.04–0.16 (20%)attempts 1–6goals 0–0
- Anderson – Dvorak – Pezzetta4:45
xG 0.01–0.66 (1%)attempts 1–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Lagesson – Harris12:27
xG 0.38–0.40 (49%)attempts 12–11goals 0–0
- Savard – Romanov17:03
xG 0.25–0.58 (30%)attempts 10–19goals 1–1
- Petry – Edmundson12:41
xG 0.17–1.40 (11%)attempts 9–19goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
MTL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line MTL is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 72% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (MTL − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).