Thu, Feb 10, 2022·TD Garden, Boston
Carolina Hurricanes 6, Boston Bruins 0
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 63% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAR | 118 | 311 | 214 | 643 |
| BOS | 011 | 011 | 012 | 034 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 8:26CARVincent TrocheckPPGWGAssists: Teuvo Teravainen, Andrei Svechnikov · Wrist, 0.35 xG1–0
- P2 2:35CARAndrei SvechnikovUnassisted · Wrist, 0.06 xG2–0
- P2 8:01CARSebastian AhoAssists: Teuvo Teravainen, Martin Necas · Snap, 0.09 xG3–0
- P2 14:02CARBrett PesceAssists: Jesper Fast, Jordan Staal · Wrist, 0.10 xG4–0
- P3 1:58CARSebastian AhoPPAssists: Teuvo Teravainen, Andrei Svechnikov · Deflected, 0.10 xG5–0
- P3 15:24CARJordan StaalAssists: Brady Skjei · Tip-in, 0.07 xG6–0
Penalties (12)
- P1 1:29CARMartin Necas: Cross checking2 min
- P1 4:21CARIan Cole: High sticking2 min
- P1 7:43BOSTrent Frederic: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P1 9:35BOSCharlie McAvoy: Fighting5 min
- P1 9:35CARTony DeAngelo: Fighting5 min
- P1 13:17BOSConnor Clifton: Interference2 min
- P1 14:17CARTeuvo Teravainen: Hooking2 min
- P1 18:07BOSDavid Pastrnak: High sticking2 min
- P3 0:22BOSJake DeBrusk: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min · PPG
- P3 6:50CARSteven Lorentz: Tripping2 min
- P3 8:13BOSCharlie McAvoy: Slashing2 min
- P3 8:13CARSebastian Aho: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Studnicka won the faceoff against Staal
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Carolina Hurricanes
Forward lines
- bestTeravainen – Aho – Necas7:41
xG 0.21–0.01 (94%)attempts 6–3goals 1–0
- Staal – Niederreiter – Fast11:23
xG 0.60–0.62 (49%)attempts 9–13goals 2–0
- Trocheck – Svechnikov – Jarvis7:13
xG 0.23–0.25 (48%)attempts 6–10goals 1–0
- Stepan – Martinook – Lorentz10:19
xG 0.41–0.48 (46%)attempts 10–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSkjei – Pesce12:47
xG 0.63–0.38 (63%)attempts 10–8goals 1–0
- Skjei – DeAngelo2:11
xG 0.16–0.06 (74%)attempts 2–3goals 1–0
- Slavin – DeAngelo11:03
xG 0.44–0.40 (53%)attempts 10–14goals 0–0
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestSmith – Coyle – DeBrusk5:49
xG 0.44–0.11 (80%)attempts 11–3goals 0–1
- Foligno – Frederic – Studnicka6:30
xG 0.47–0.36 (57%)attempts 8–5goals 0–1
- Haula – Hall – Pastrnak7:42
xG 0.11–0.05 (67%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Hall – Pastrnak – Studnicka3:57
xG 0.16–0.14 (53%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestReilly – Carlo7:08
xG 0.66–0.26 (72%)attempts 15–8goals 0–1
- Grzelcyk – McAvoy4:43
xG 0.12–0.04 (77%)attempts 7–1goals 0–0
- Forbort – Grzelcyk2:44
xG 0.11–0.09 (56%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it CAR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 63% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − CAR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).