Thu, Feb 17, 2022·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Vancouver Canucks 5, San Jose Sharks 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 60% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 215 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 527 |
| SJS | 04 | 215 | 29 | 00 | 428 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 14:54VANBrock BoeserAssists: J.T. Miller, Oliver Ekman-Larsson · Snap, 0.14 xG1–0
- P1 17:40VANQuinn HughesUnassisted · Wrist, 0.01 xG2–0
- P2 3:35SJSLogan CoutureAssists: Matt Nieto, Noah Gregor · Wrist, 0.07 xG2–1
- P2 10:49VANJuho LammikkoAssists: Kyle Burroughs · Tip-in, 0.08 xG3–1
- P2 14:03SJSTimo MeierPPAssists: Tomas Hertl, Alexander Barabanov · Wrist, 0.07 xG3–2
- P3 0:45SJSTimo MeierPPAssists: Tomas Hertl, Alexander Barabanov · Wrist, 0.07 xG3–3
- P3 14:23VANConor GarlandAssists: Elias Pettersson, Kyle Burroughs · Backhand, 0.16 xG4–3
- P3 19:59SJSAlexander BarabanovAssists: Timo Meier, Brent Burns · Snap, 0.10 xG4–4
- OT 2:39VANJ.T. MillerGWGAssists: Elias Pettersson, Quinn Hughes · Snap, 0.12 xG5–4
Penalties (11)
- P1 6:06SJSJeffrey Viel: Roughing2 min
- P1 6:06VANKyle Burroughs: Roughing2 min
- P1 10:34SJSJeffrey Viel: Holding2 min
- P2 5:04SJSNicolas Meloche: Cross checking2 min
- P2 11:38SJSJeffrey Viel: Roughing2 min
- P2 11:38VANOliver Ekman-Larsson: Roughing2 min
- P2 13:34VANBrock Boeser: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 14:44SJSLogan Couture: Interference2 min
- P2 18:53VANJ.T. Miller: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 3:04SJSTimo Meier: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P3 10:36VANJ.T. Miller: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Couture won the faceoff against Horvat
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestPettersson – Hoglander – Podkolzin7:06
xG 0.55–0.07 (89%)attempts 4–6goals 0–0
- Motte – Lammikko – Highmore9:43
xG 0.46–0.10 (83%)attempts 10–6goals 2–0
- Pearson – Garland – Pettersson2:41
xG 0.22–0.04 (86%)attempts 5–2goals 1–0
- Pearson – Dickinson – Garland5:25
xG 0.21–0.28 (43%)attempts 6–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHamonic – Burroughs10:53
xG 0.42–0.17 (71%)attempts 12–12goals 2–0
- Myers – Ekman-Larsson12:45
xG 0.98–0.75 (56%)attempts 15–15goals 1–0
- Schenn – Hughes10:26
xG 0.13–0.20 (40%)attempts 6–5goals 1–0
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestHertl – Meier – Barabanov9:56
xG 0.60–0.20 (75%)attempts 16–8goals 0–2
- Couture – Nieto – Gregor6:11
xG 0.21–0.09 (69%)attempts 7–3goals 1–0
- Cogliano – Bonino – Dahlen4:27
xG 0.14–0.03 (82%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
- Pederson – Viel – Gadjovich7:06
xG 0.32–0.36 (47%)attempts 10–7goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Vlasic – Merkley9:32
xG 0.18–0.23 (44%)attempts 10–5goals 1–0
- Middleton – Meloche11:34
xG 0.17–0.24 (42%)attempts 12–8goals 0–1
- Burns – Ferraro11:46
xG 0.44–0.77 (37%)attempts 12–12goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 60% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).