Sat, Feb 19, 2022·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Anaheim Ducks 7, Vancouver Canucks 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 78% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | 38 | 310 | 17 | 725 |
| VAN | 02 | 29 | 29 | 420 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:57ANATroy TerryAssists: Hampus Lindholm, John Gibson · Deflected, 0.06 xG1–0
- P1 3:23ANANicolas DeslauriersAssists: Derek Grant, Sam Carrick · Deflected, 0.08 xG2–0
- P1 14:08ANARickard RakellPPAssists: Jamie Drysdale, Trevor Zegras · Deflected, 0.10 xG3–0
- P2 1:35ANAAdam HenriquePPAssists: Jakob Silfverberg, Troy Terry · Slap, 0.38 xG4–0
- P2 4:20ANASam SteelGWGAssists: Trevor Zegras, Sonny Milano · Wrist, 0.13 xG5–0
- P2 4:52VANTanner PearsonAssists: Conor Garland, Elias Pettersson · Slap, 0.14 xG5–1
- P2 15:47VANElias PetterssonPPAssists: Quinn Hughes, J.T. Miller · Slap, 0.05 xG5–2
- P2 16:50ANAAdam HenriqueAssists: Trevor Zegras, Simon Benoit · Wrist, 0.45 xG6–2
- P3 3:49ANANicolas DeslauriersAssists: Sam Carrick · Wrist, 0.07 xG7–2
- P3 10:41VANConor GarlandAssists: Tanner Pearson, Elias Pettersson · Backhand, 0.03 xG7–3
- P3 16:28VANQuinn HughesAssists: Tyler Motte · Wrist, 0.02 xG7–4
Penalties (10)
- P1 9:54VANLuke Schenn: Cross checking2 min
- P1 13:49VANJ.T. Miller: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P1 16:41ANAHampus Lindholm: Interference2 min
- P2 1:14VANBo Horvat: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P2 2:18VANQuinn Hughes: Hooking2 min
- P2 7:06ANATroy Terry: Holding2 min
- P2 15:06ANAMaxime Comtois: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P3 12:32ANAMaxime Comtois: Roughing2 min
- P3 12:32VANVasily Podkolzin: Roughing2 min
- P3 12:32VANVasily Podkolzin: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Carrick won the faceoff against Pettersson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestHenrique – Silfverberg – Zegras7:53
xG 0.59–0.10 (86%)attempts 7–4goals 1–1
- Milano – Terry – Steel9:31
xG 0.25–0.17 (59%)attempts 9–6goals 1–0
- Grant – Deslauriers – Carrick10:46
xG 0.42–0.35 (55%)attempts 8–7goals 2–1
- Rakell – Comtois – Lundeström10:51
xG 0.13–0.26 (34%)attempts 8–13goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestMahura – Benoit12:57
xG 0.83–0.28 (75%)attempts 10–11goals 1–0
- Lindholm – Drysdale13:52
xG 0.40–0.22 (65%)attempts 11–10goals 2–2
- Shattenkirk – Fowler16:26
xG 0.57–0.44 (57%)attempts 13–14goals 0–1
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestMotte – Lammikko – Highmore10:27
xG 0.48–0.07 (87%)attempts 9–5goals 1–0
- Miller – Horvat – Boeser10:56
xG 0.09–0.22 (29%)attempts 9–5goals 0–1
- Pearson – Garland – Pettersson10:22
xG 0.21–0.38 (35%)attempts 6–8goals 2–1
- Dickinson – Hoglander – Podkolzin9:59
xG 0.18–0.82 (18%)attempts 7–11goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestSchenn – Ekman-Larsson5:01
xG 0.17–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–1goals 0–0
- Myers – Ekman-Larsson9:53
xG 0.27–0.30 (48%)attempts 9–6goals 1–1
- Myers – Hamonic8:39
xG 0.12–0.20 (38%)attempts 6–10goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 78% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − ANA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).