Fri, Feb 18, 2022·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise
Los Angeles Kings 4, Vegas Golden Knights 3 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 78% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 110 | 27 | 011 | 13 | 431 |
| VGK | 27 | 111 | 05 | 01 | 324 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 8:11VGKMax PaciorettyPPAssists: Jonathan Marchessault · Wrist, 0.22 xG0–1
- P1 15:06VGKReilly SmithAssists: Jonathan Marchessault, William Karlsson · Snap, 0.11 xG0–2
- P1 15:34LAKAndreas AthanasiouUnassisted · Wrist, 0.23 xG1–2
- P2 0:30LAKAdrian KempePPAssists: Drew Doughty, Anze Kopitar · Wrist, 0.04 xG2–2
- P2 6:33VGKMax PaciorettyAssists: Jack Eichel, Ben Hutton · Wrist, 0.02 xG2–3
- P2 17:17LAKPhillip DanaultAssists: Viktor Arvidsson, Matt Roy · Wrist, 0.09 xG3–3
- OT 2:18LAKAdrian KempeGWGAssists: Sean Durzi, Anze Kopitar · Wrist, 0.22 xG4–3
Penalties (6)
- P1 6:53LAKDrew Doughty: Interference2 min · PPG
- P1 17:28VGKChandler Stephenson: Holding2 min
- P1 0:00VGKChandler Stephenson: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min · PPG
- P2 0:44LAKViktor Arvidsson: Interference2 min
- P2 9:11LAKQuinton Byfield: Hooking2 min
- P2 14:13VGKNicolas Hague: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Karlsson won the faceoff against Danault
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestBrown – Athanasiou – Byfield10:50
xG 1.02–0.31 (77%)attempts 15–5goals 1–0
- Danault – Arvidsson – Moore12:47
xG 0.76–0.52 (59%)attempts 18–17goals 1–0
- Kopitar – Kempe – Iafallo11:39
xG 0.33–0.26 (56%)attempts 11–5goals 0–0
- Lemieux – Lizotte – Kaliyev7:38
xG 0.27–0.43 (38%)attempts 13–10goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestDurzi – Bjornfot9:52
xG 0.72–0.27 (73%)attempts 19–8goals 0–2
- Maatta – Roy13:26
xG 0.98–0.65 (60%)attempts 13–13goals 2–0
- Doughty – Anderson19:18
xG 0.54–0.39 (58%)attempts 18–13goals 0–0
Vegas Golden Knights
Forward lines
- bestDadonov – Janmark – Roy9:54
xG 0.61–0.38 (62%)attempts 12–13goals 0–0
- Pacioretty – Stephenson – Eichel10:22
xG 0.41–0.25 (62%)attempts 10–7goals 1–1
- Carrier – Kolesar – Howden10:52
xG 0.26–0.53 (33%)attempts 10–9goals 0–1
- Smith – Karlsson – Marchessault11:28
xG 0.26–0.73 (26%)attempts 7–16goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestHutton – Coghlan8:49
xG 0.33–0.20 (62%)attempts 10–10goals 2–0
- Pietrangelo – McNabb2:41
xG 0.13–0.28 (31%)attempts 2–8goals 0–0
- Hutton – Theodore2:14
xG 0.14–0.31 (32%)attempts 5–3goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VGK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VGK is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 78% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VGK − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).