Tue, Feb 8, 2022·TD Garden, Boston
Pittsburgh Penguins 4, Boston Bruins 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 55% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIT | 010 | 38 | 17 | 425 |
| BOS | 217 | 018 | 010 | 245 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:01BOSDavid PastrnakPPAssists: Taylor Hall, Patrice Bergeron · Slap, 0.15 xG0–1
- P1 15:34BOSDavid PastrnakAssists: Taylor Hall, Erik Haula · Wrist, 0.17 xG0–2
- P2 4:18PITDanton HeinenAssists: Brock McGinn, Mike Matheson · Backhand, 0.08 xG1–2
- P2 4:46PITDanton HeinenAssists: John Marino, Evan Rodrigues · Wrist, 0.04 xG2–2
- P2 12:53PITSidney CrosbyPPGWGAssists: Bryan Rust, Jake Guentzel · Snap, 0.12 xG3–2
- P3 18:31PITBryan RustENAssists: Jake Guentzel · Wrist, 0.78 xG4–2
Penalties (10)
- P1 1:40PITRadim Zohorna: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 5:27BOSJake DeBrusk: Hooking2 min
- P2 7:24PITDanton Heinen: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 11:56BOSCharlie Coyle: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 18:49PITMike Matheson: Roughing2 min
- P2 18:49BOSTaylor Hall: Roughing2 min
- P3 1:43BOSCraig Smith: Interference2 min
- P3 9:25PITSidney Crosby: Roughing2 min
- P3 19:35BOSBrad Marchand: Roughing2 min
- P3 19:35BOSBrad Marchand: Match penatly 10 minutes10 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Crosby won the faceoff against Bergeron
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Pittsburgh Penguins
Forward lines
- bestCrosby – Rust – Guentzel14:15
xG 0.40–0.23 (64%)attempts 11–17goals 0–0
- Heinen – Rodrigues – Zohorna8:46
xG 0.18–0.07 (71%)attempts 9–6goals 1–0
- Boyle – Simon – Aston-Reese4:17
xG 0.00–0.17 (0%)attempts 0–7goals 0–0
- Carter – McGinn – Kapanen8:50
xG 0.36–0.62 (36%)attempts 7–12goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestPettersson – Marino9:06
xG 0.37–0.20 (65%)attempts 10–7goals 1–0
- Dumoulin – Marino2:11
xG 0.10–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- Letang – Dumoulin13:36
xG 0.37–0.48 (44%)attempts 10–18goals 0–0
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestBergeron – Marchand – Smith9:43
xG 0.63–0.05 (93%)attempts 18–4goals 0–0
- Haula – Hall – Pastrnak10:39
xG 0.70–0.18 (79%)attempts 14–6goals 1–1
- Foligno – Lazar – Nosek7:26
xG 0.19–0.16 (54%)attempts 10–6goals 0–0
- Coyle – DeBrusk – Steen7:25
xG 0.09–0.39 (19%)attempts 8–6goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestReilly – McAvoy3:28
xG 0.32–0.00 (100%)attempts 7–2goals 0–0
- Forbort – Clifton10:12
xG 0.48–0.21 (70%)attempts 12–9goals 0–1
- Grzelcyk – McAvoy13:50
xG 0.40–0.32 (56%)attempts 15–10goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it PIT. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 55% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − PIT), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).