Mon, Feb 21, 2022·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Seattle Kraken 2, Vancouver Canucks 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 87% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 29 | 04 | 014 | 227 |
| VAN | 115 | 218 | 213 | 546 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:11VANTyler MotteAssists: Juho Lammikko, Matthew Highmore · Wrist, 0.22 xG0–1
- P1 3:12SEAJared McCannAssists: Marcus Johansson, Jordan Eberle · Snap, 0.18 xG1–1
- P1 14:26SEAMark GiordanoSHAssists: Joonas Donskoi, Riley Sheahan · Wrist, 0.16 xG2–1
- P2 3:45VANTravis HamonicAssists: Juho Lammikko, Tyler Motte · Slap, 0.10 xG2–2
- P2 16:41VANVasily PodkolzinGWGAssists: Quinn Hughes, Elias Pettersson · Wrist, 0.29 xG2–3
- P3 0:35VANBo HorvatPPAssists: J.T. Miller, Elias Pettersson · Slap, 0.12 xG2–4
- P3 18:28VANTanner PearsonENAssists: J.T. Miller · Wrist, 0.74 xG2–5
Penalties (8)
- P1 12:21VANBo Horvat: Holding2 min
- P1 14:15SEAVince Dunn: Interference2 min
- P2 4:27SEAJamie Oleksiak: Hooking2 min
- P2 17:36VANBo Horvat: Slashing2 min
- P2 19:17SEAAlexander Wennberg: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P3 5:20SEAMarcus Johansson: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P3 11:45VANBrad Hunt: Hooking2 min
- P3 15:20VANMatthew Highmore: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Lammikko won the faceoff against McCann
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestEberle – Johansson – McCann9:10
xG 0.49–0.41 (54%)attempts 8–9goals 1–1
- Sheahan – Blackwell – Geekie6:18
xG 0.37–0.67 (36%)attempts 7–9goals 0–0
- Jarnkrok – Gourde – Appleton8:26
xG 0.15–0.49 (24%)attempts 8–9goals 0–1
- Donskoi – Wennberg – Donato7:54
xG 0.01–0.83 (2%)attempts 1–12goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Giordano – Dunn2:38
xG 0.30–0.34 (47%)attempts 9–3goals 0–0
- Dunn – Lauzon11:47
xG 0.66–1.06 (38%)attempts 14–14goals 0–1
- Giordano – Larsson11:37
xG 0.17–0.66 (21%)attempts 8–12goals 0–2
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestPettersson – Hoglander – Podkolzin8:46
xG 1.06–0.20 (84%)attempts 8–8goals 1–0
- Miller – Pearson – Garland11:36
xG 0.75–0.22 (77%)attempts 16–6goals 0–0
- Dickinson – Horvat – Boeser10:32
xG 0.53–0.14 (79%)attempts 16–4goals 0–0
- Motte – Lammikko – Highmore9:19
xG 0.79–0.47 (63%)attempts 8–14goals 2–1
Defence pairs
- bestHamonic – Hunt10:58
xG 1.12–0.27 (81%)attempts 13–10goals 1–0
- Schenn – Hughes13:08
xG 1.23–0.40 (76%)attempts 17–15goals 1–0
- Myers – Ekman-Larsson13:56
xG 0.57–0.39 (60%)attempts 15–8goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it SEA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 87% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − SEA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).