Tue, Feb 22, 2022·Honda Center, Anaheim
San Jose Sharks 3, Anaheim Ducks 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 64% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 213 | 114 | 09 | 07 | 0 | 343 |
| ANA | 17 | 214 | 08 | 00 | 2 | 429 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:38ANADerek GrantAssists: Sam Carrick, Nicolas Deslauriers · Wrist, 0.23 xG0–1
- P1 7:10SJSLogan CoutureAssists: Brent Burns · Tip-in, 0.12 xG1–1
- P1 17:22SJSBrent BurnsAssists: Matt Nieto, Timo Meier · Slap, 0.02 xG2–1
- P2 7:00ANARickard RakellAssists: Trevor Zegras, Cam Fowler · Tip-in, 0.17 xG2–2
- P2 13:44SJSLogan CouturePPAssists: Brent Burns, Timo Meier · Backhand, 0.26 xG3–2
- P2 16:09ANARickard RakellAssists: Adam Henrique · Snap, 0.09 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. ANA Trevor Zegras scored
- 2. SJS Logan Couture stopped
- 3. ANA Troy Terry stopped
- 4. SJS Tomas Hertl stopped
- 5. ANA Rickard Rakell scored
Penalties (10)
- P1 4:42ANASimon Benoit: High sticking2 min
- P1 18:38ANANicolas Deslauriers: Fighting5 min
- P1 18:38SJSJonah Gadjovich: Fighting5 min
- P2 1:50SJSAlexander Barabanov: Hooking2 min
- P2 8:34SJSAlexander Barabanov: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 10:44ANAHampus Lindholm: High sticking double minor4 min · PPG
- P2 18:04SJSNick Bonino: Hooking2 min
- P3 5:35ANASimon Benoit: Hooking2 min
- P3 13:09SJSRadim Simek: Boarding2 min
- OT 0:28ANAJakob Silfverberg: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Carrick won the faceoff against Couture
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestCouture – Dzingel – Gregor3:13
xG 0.45–0.02 (95%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Hertl – Meier – Barabanov12:10
xG 0.35–0.33 (51%)attempts 13–11goals 0–0
- Gregor – Gadjovich – Weatherby3:57
xG 0.06–0.19 (23%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
- Cogliano – Bonino – Nieto8:42
xG 0.10–0.41 (19%)attempts 5–8goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestMiddleton – Meloche2:49
xG 0.23–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Vlasic – Simek8:43
xG 0.36–0.34 (51%)attempts 5–10goals 0–0
- Meloche – Ferraro12:21
xG 0.40–0.52 (43%)attempts 9–22goals 0–0
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestHenrique – Rakell – Zegras11:16
xG 0.66–0.38 (63%)attempts 18–5goals 2–0
- Grant – Deslauriers – Carrick8:01
xG 0.57–0.36 (61%)attempts 11–5goals 1–0
- Silfverberg – Steel – Lundeström10:17
xG 0.27–0.27 (50%)attempts 14–11goals 0–0
- Getzlaf – Milano – Terry8:57
xG 0.22–0.52 (30%)attempts 8–13goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestShattenkirk – Fowler15:42
xG 1.00–0.37 (73%)attempts 23–10goals 2–0
- Mahura – Benoit9:41
xG 0.25–0.19 (56%)attempts 7–11goals 0–0
- Lindholm – Drysdale15:28
xG 0.59–0.67 (47%)attempts 21–11goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 64% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).