Wed, Dec 29, 2021·Honda Center, Anaheim
Vancouver Canucks 2, Anaheim Ducks 1 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 72% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 08 | 015 | 113 | 11 | 237 |
| ANA | 18 | 08 | 07 | 00 | 123 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 16:26ANASam CarrickAssists: Nicolas Deslauriers, Hampus Lindholm · Wrist, 0.12 xG0–1
- P3 1:21VANTanner PearsonAssists: Quinn Hughes, J.T. Miller · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–1
- OT 0:26VANJ.T. MillerGWGUnassisted · Wrist, 0.11 xG2–1
Penalties (6)
- P1 8:31VANConor Garland: Holding2 min
- P1 14:10VANJ.T. Miller: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 9:22ANARyan Getzlaf: Tripping2 min
- P2 10:04VANQuinn Hughes: Holding2 min
- P3 3:39ANAJosh Manson: Tripping2 min
- P3 10:46VANOliver Ekman-Larsson: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Lundeström won the faceoff against Pettersson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestDickinson – Horvat – Hoglander10:38
xG 1.33–0.59 (69%)attempts 15–11goals 0–1
- Garland – Pettersson – Podkolzin14:43
xG 0.81–0.60 (58%)attempts 13–17goals 0–0
- Chiasson – Miller – Pearson12:29
xG 0.42–0.28 (60%)attempts 12–10goals 1–0
- Dowling – Motte – Lammikko6:50
xG 0.06–0.18 (26%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMyers – Ekman-Larsson15:08
xG 1.53–0.62 (71%)attempts 22–15goals 0–0
- Hunt – Poolman11:51
xG 0.62–0.23 (73%)attempts 10–4goals 0–1
- Schenn – Hughes16:09
xG 0.52–0.62 (46%)attempts 12–19goals 1–0
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestDeslauriers – Carrick – Robinson6:50
xG 0.43–0.32 (57%)attempts 10–8goals 1–0
- Grant – Silfverberg – Lundeström5:28
xG 0.14–0.12 (54%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
- Grant – Silfverberg – Carrick3:45
xG 0.11–0.15 (42%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- Getzlaf – Terry – Lettieri12:16
xG 0.33–0.55 (37%)attempts 7–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestManson – Lindholm2:51
xG 0.15–0.01 (97%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Fowler – Manson2:06
xG 0.08–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- Manson – Larsson11:01
xG 0.49–0.51 (49%)attempts 10–10goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 72% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).