Thu, Dec 30, 2021·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Nashville Predators 3, Columbus Blue Jackets 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 56% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSH | 112 | 214 | 07 | 01 | 1 | 334 |
| CBJ | 16 | 17 | 112 | 04 | 2 | 429 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:50NSHMichael McCarronAssists: Matt Luff, Philip Tomasino · Wrist, 0.09 xG1–0
- P1 6:26CBJBoone JennerAssists: Vladislav Gavrikov, Adam Boqvist · Tip-in, 0.11 xG1–1
- P2 0:24CBJPatrik LaineAssists: Jakub Voracek, Boone Jenner · Tip-in, 0.12 xG1–2
- P2 15:31NSHNick CousinsAssists: Matt Duchene, Dante Fabbro · Wrist, 0.03 xG2–2
- P2 16:06NSHRyan JohansenPPAssists: Mikael Granlund, Matt Duchene · Backhand, 0.23 xG3–2
- P3 13:33CBJAlexandre TexierUnassisted · Snap, 0.14 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. CBJ Egor Chinakhov stopped
- 2. NSH Filip Forsberg stopped
- 3. CBJ Patrik Laine stopped
- 4. NSH Matt Duchene stopped
- 5. CBJ Jakub Voracek stopped
- 6. NSH Ryan Johansen stopped
- 7. CBJ Alexandre Texier scored
- 8. NSH Mikael Granlund scored
- 9. CBJ Gustav Nyquist scored
- 10. NSH Eeli Tolvanen stopped
Penalties (8)
- P1 7:38CBJJake Bean: Cross checking2 min
- P2 3:54CBJAdam Boqvist: Holding2 min
- P2 7:21NSHTanner Jeannot: Roughing2 min
- P2 7:21CBJAndrew Peeke: Fighting5 min
- P2 7:21NSHTanner Jeannot: Fighting5 min
- P2 15:51CBJAndrew Peeke: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P3 6:43NSHMattias Ekholm: Holding2 min
- OT 2:16NSHMatt Duchene: Cross checking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Jenner won the faceoff against Johansen
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Nashville Predators
Forward lines
- bestCousins – Trenin – Jeannot8:04
xG 0.36–0.11 (77%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
- McCarron – Luff – Tomasino7:03
xG 0.32–0.10 (77%)attempts 10–2goals 1–0
- McCarron – Trenin – Jeannot2:29
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–0goals 0–0
- Duchene – Granlund – Forsberg11:43
xG 0.28–0.37 (43%)attempts 9–7goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestBorowiecki – Benning12:22
xG 0.43–0.16 (72%)attempts 8–8goals 0–0
- Ekholm – Carrier16:25
xG 0.65–0.62 (51%)attempts 18–12goals 1–1
- Ekholm – Fabbro2:32
xG 0.04–0.04 (51%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestNyquist – Kuraly – Texier13:21
xG 0.35–0.21 (62%)attempts 8–7goals 1–0
- Danforth – Chinakhov – Sillinger7:06
xG 0.36–0.35 (51%)attempts 7–7goals 0–1
- Voracek – Jenner – Laine13:25
xG 0.51–0.58 (47%)attempts 12–14goals 1–0
- Domi – Roslovic – Bemstrom9:52
xG 0.18–0.41 (30%)attempts 5–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGavrikov – Boqvist10:31
xG 0.74–0.24 (76%)attempts 15–8goals 2–0
- Werenski – Boqvist3:04
xG 0.10–0.07 (60%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Gavrikov – Peeke4:53
xG 0.14–0.11 (56%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it NSH. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 56% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − NSH), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).