Sat, Jan 1, 2022·Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
Philadelphia Flyers 3, Los Angeles Kings 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 71% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 112 | 012 | 213 | 337 |
| LAK | 217 | 28 | 29 | 634 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:12LAKViktor ArvidssonAssists: Phillip Danault, Trevor Moore · Wrap-around, 0.06 xG0–1
- P1 13:00PHIJoel FarabeeAssists: Cam Atkinson, Claude Giroux · Wrist, 0.14 xG1–1
- P1 14:27LAKTrevor MooreAssists: Phillip Danault, Viktor Arvidsson · Wrist, 0.26 xG1–2
- P2 0:46LAKAdrian KempePPAssists: Anze Kopitar, Drew Doughty · Slap, 0.45 xG1–3
- P2 13:27LAKBrendan LemieuxGWGAssists: Arthur Kaliyev, Drew Doughty · Wrist, 0.13 xG1–4
- P3 2:42PHIKevin HayesPPAssists: Claude Giroux, Cam Atkinson · Slap, 0.05 xG2–4
- P3 11:17LAKPhillip DanaultAssists: Trevor Moore, Viktor Arvidsson · Wrist, 0.18 xG2–5
- P3 16:01PHIIvan ProvorovAssists: Joel Farabee, Cam Atkinson · Slap, 0.03 xG3–5
- P3 18:16LAKViktor ArvidssonENAssists: Trevor Moore · Backhand, 0.68 xG3–6
Penalties (10)
- P1 3:48LAKViktor Arvidsson: Holding2 min
- P1 7:42PHIMorgan Frost: Hooking2 min
- P1 12:16LAKPhillip Danault: Penalty shot tripping on breakaway0 min
- P1 16:08LAKBrendan Lemieux: Cross checking2 min
- P1 18:46PHITravis Konecny: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P1 19:45PHIRasmus Ristolainen: Boarding2 min
- P2 14:22LAKBrendan Lemieux: Clipping2 min
- P3 1:01LAKSean Durzi: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 2:12PHITravis Konecny: Misconduct10 min
- P3 2:29LAKBlake Lizotte: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Danault won the faceoff against Hayes
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestGiroux – Atkinson – Farabee10:18
xG 1.06–0.62 (63%)attempts 9–11goals 2–0
- Lindblom – Konecny – Frost5:37
xG 0.44–0.44 (50%)attempts 5–10goals 0–0
- van Riemsdyk – Hayes – Frost2:14
xG 0.01–0.23 (4%)attempts 1–3goals 0–1
- van Riemsdyk – Hayes – Willman8:18
xG 0.11–0.33 (25%)attempts 4–8goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- Braun – Provorov12:31
xG 0.52–0.74 (41%)attempts 10–13goals 1–2
- Ristolainen – Sanheim17:18
xG 0.57–1.18 (33%)attempts 9–19goals 0–0
- Yandle – Connauton11:33
xG 0.65–1.43 (31%)attempts 15–20goals 0–2
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestLemieux – Lizotte – Kaliyev7:55
xG 1.40–0.63 (69%)attempts 13–8goals 1–0
- Danault – Arvidsson – Moore10:09
xG 1.13–0.53 (68%)attempts 14–9goals 3–0
- Grundstrom – Kupari – Turcotte7:53
xG 0.16–0.43 (28%)attempts 5–11goals 0–0
- Kopitar – Kempe – Iafallo9:36
xG 0.46–0.93 (33%)attempts 12–8goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestDoughty – Anderson17:35
xG 1.69–1.24 (58%)attempts 24–14goals 4–2
- Durzi – Bjornfot11:32
xG 0.92–0.67 (58%)attempts 16–13goals 0–0
- Wolanin – Roy13:17
xG 0.62–1.04 (37%)attempts 11–17goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it PHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 71% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − PHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).