Mon, Jan 3, 2022·Madison Square Garden, New York
Edmonton Oilers 1, New York Rangers 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 54% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EDM | 06 | 114 | 014 | 134 |
| NYR | 111 | 112 | 25 | 428 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 5:25NYRAlexis LafrenièreAssists: Ryan Strome, Ryan Lindgren · Wrist, 0.11 xG0–1
- P2 3:49NYRBarclay GoodrowGWGAssists: Alexis Lafrenière, Ryan Strome · Wrist, 0.12 xG0–2
- P2 14:00EDMRyan McLeodAssists: Tyler Benson, Kyle Turris · Wrist, 0.17 xG1–2
- P3 3:32NYRChris KreiderPPAssists: Adam Fox · Tip-in, 0.14 xG1–3
- P3 14:11NYRRyan StromeAssists: Barclay Goodrow, Adam Fox · Wrist, 0.02 xG1–4
Penalties (7)
- P1 0:15EDMMikko Koskinen: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 6:26EDMSlater Koekkoek: Holding2 min
- P2 6:57NYRKaapo Kakko: Hooking2 min
- P3 2:20EDMRyan McLeod: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 8:05EDMKailer Yamamoto: Slashing2 min
- P3 9:43NYRJacob Trouba: High sticking2 min
- P3 17:20EDMWarren Foegele: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zibanejad won the faceoff against McDavid
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Edmonton Oilers
Forward lines
- bestHyman – McDavid – Puljujarvi10:02
xG 0.50–0.14 (78%)attempts 17–7goals 0–0
- Sceviour – Shore – Ryan4:48
xG 0.28–0.06 (84%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
- Draisaitl – McDavid – Yamamoto3:13
xG 0.24–0.12 (66%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- Turris – Benson – McLeod9:39
xG 0.39–0.32 (55%)attempts 14–6goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestKeith – Ceci14:54
xG 0.90–0.30 (75%)attempts 17–5goals 1–1
- Nurse – Bouchard15:07
xG 0.57–0.45 (56%)attempts 19–10goals 0–1
- Barrie – Koekkoek11:01
xG 0.07–0.07 (51%)attempts 11–4goals 0–1
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestStrome – Goodrow – Lafrenière11:29
xG 0.48–0.36 (57%)attempts 9–10goals 3–0
- Hunt – Gauthier – Chytil5:37
xG 0.32–0.40 (44%)attempts 5–4goals 0–1
- Reaves – McKegg – Rooney8:09
xG 0.10–0.20 (34%)attempts 3–9goals 0–0
- Kreider – Zibanejad – Kakko12:24
xG 0.09–0.62 (12%)attempts 5–23goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHajek – Jones11:31
xG 0.58–0.34 (63%)attempts 9–11goals 0–0
- Fox – Lindgren11:32
xG 0.32–0.38 (46%)attempts 8–16goals 3–1
- Trouba – Miller17:49
xG 0.25–0.67 (27%)attempts 7–21goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it EDM. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 54% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYR − EDM), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).