Thu, Jan 6, 2022·TD Garden, Boston
Minnesota Wild 3, Boston Bruins 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 56% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 214 | 110 | 06 | 330 |
| BOS | 110 | 111 | 017 | 238 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 6:35BOSTaylor HallPPAssists: Mike Reilly, Erik Haula · Snap, 0.10 xG0–1
- P1 15:25MINKirill KaprizovPPAssists: Mats Zuccarello, Kevin Fiala · Snap, 0.12 xG1–1
- P1 16:48MINNico SturmPPAssists: Jonas Brodin, Connor Dewar · Slap, 0.28 xG2–1
- P2 12:26MINMatt BoldyGWGAssists: Marcus Foligno, Jonas Brodin · Wrist, 0.05 xG3–1
- P2 15:35BOSBrad MarchandPPAssists: Patrice Bergeron, Matt Grzelcyk · Slap, 0.11 xG3–2
Penalties (19)
- P1 0:32BOSMike Reilly: Tripping2 min
- P1 4:36MINKevin Fiala: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P1 4:36MINMathew Dumba: Hooking2 min
- P1 6:11BOSPatrice Bergeron: Tripping2 min
- P1 14:49BOSBrad Marchand: Holding2 min · PPG
- P1 14:49BOSBrandon Carlo: Interference2 min · PPG
- P1 18:12MINKirill Kaprizov: Roughing2 min
- P1 18:12BOSAnton Blidh: Roughing2 min
- P1 18:12BOSTrent Frederic: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P2 4:27MINAlex Goligoski: Interference2 min
- P2 10:12BOSTrent Frederic: Boarding2 min
- P2 10:12BOSTrent Frederic: Fighting5 min
- P2 10:12MINDmitry Kulikov: Fighting5 min
- P2 13:03BOSPatrice Bergeron: Interference2 min
- P2 15:10MINMathew Dumba: Interference2 min · PPG
- P3 1:12BOSTrent Frederic: High sticking2 min
- P3 1:12BOSTrent Frederic: Fighting5 min
- P3 1:12MINMarcus Foligno: Fighting5 min
- P3 1:24MINMarco Rossi: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hartman won the faceoff against Bergeron
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Minnesota Wild
Forward lines
- bestGaudreau – Dewar – Sturm2:37
xG 0.16–0.05 (77%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Pitlick – Dewar – Sturm4:23
xG 0.10–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Foligno – Fiala – Rossi2:17
xG 0.00–0.05 (0%)attempts 0–1goals 0–0
- Foligno – Boldy – Rossi4:16
xG 0.09–0.14 (39%)attempts 2–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBenn – Kulikov5:47
xG 0.14–0.07 (68%)attempts 7–4goals 0–0
- Brodin – Dumba15:27
xG 0.29–0.32 (47%)attempts 7–12goals 0–0
- Goligoski – Merrill7:22
xG 0.17–0.30 (36%)attempts 5–7goals 0–0
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestFoligno – Coyle – Steen6:51
xG 0.49–0.09 (85%)attempts 8–5goals 0–0
- Haula – Hall – Pastrnak6:37
xG 0.14–0.04 (76%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Blidh – Lazar – Frederic2:59
xG 0.10–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
- Bergeron – Marchand – Smith7:44
xG 0.21–0.17 (56%)attempts 10–6goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestMoore – Grzelcyk6:27
xG 0.44–0.09 (83%)attempts 11–5goals 0–0
- Reilly – Grzelcyk3:49
xG 0.33–0.02 (94%)attempts 6–1goals 0–0
- Forbort – Clifton7:04
xG 0.18–0.03 (85%)attempts 6–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it MIN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 56% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − MIN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).