Thu, Jan 6, 2022·Prudential Center, Newark
Columbus Blue Jackets 1, New Jersey Devils 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 57% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 118 | 07 | 07 | 132 |
| NJD | 15 | 012 | 211 | 328 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:51NJDTomas TatarAssists: Jesper Bratt, Jack Hughes · Backhand, 0.08 xG0–1
- P1 4:54CBJMax DomiAssists: Vladislav Gavrikov, Cole Sillinger · Backhand, 0.11 xG1–1
- P3 1:16NJDJesper BrattPPGWGAssists: Jack Hughes, Nathan Bastian · Wrist, 0.13 xG1–2
- P3 18:40NJDJack HughesENAssists: Tomas Tatar, Ryan Graves · Wrist, 0.51 xG1–3
Penalties (7)
- P1 11:11NJDChristian Jaros: Holding2 min
- P1 18:26NJDP.K. Subban: Interference2 min
- P2 9:52CBJJake Bean: Tripping2 min
- P3 0:54CBJVladislav Gavrikov: Holding2 min · PPG
- P3 9:26NJDDamon Severson: Tripping2 min
- P3 10:25CBJBoone Jenner: High sticking2 min
- P3 13:08NJDJesper Boqvist: Too many men on the ice2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Roslovic won the faceoff against Hughes
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestDomi – Chinakhov – Sillinger8:35
xG 0.56–0.30 (65%)attempts 9–8goals 1–0
- Kuraly – Bemstrom – Robinson6:50
xG 0.15–0.20 (44%)attempts 8–5goals 0–0
- Voracek – Bjorkstrand – Roslovic11:01
xG 0.39–0.51 (43%)attempts 8–10goals 0–0
- Nyquist – Jenner – Laine13:25
xG 0.52–0.87 (37%)attempts 11–14goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestPeeke – Christiansen10:14
xG 0.42–0.20 (68%)attempts 9–8goals 0–0
- Gavrikov – Bean18:11
xG 0.99–1.08 (48%)attempts 18–18goals 1–0
- Kukan – Boqvist12:52
xG 0.55–0.71 (44%)attempts 15–15goals 0–1
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestTatar – Bratt – Hughes10:06
xG 1.00–0.50 (67%)attempts 13–10goals 1–0
- Vesey – Bastian – Hischier10:24
xG 0.55–0.15 (79%)attempts 14–4goals 0–0
- Kuokkanen – Boqvist – Mercer6:19
xG 0.14–0.19 (44%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
- McLeod – Studenic – Foote2:10
xG 0.03–0.08 (23%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSeverson – Siegenthaler16:56
xG 1.06–0.58 (65%)attempts 19–15goals 0–0
- Jaros – Smith9:16
xG 0.32–0.30 (52%)attempts 11–7goals 0–0
- Subban – Graves14:50
xG 0.61–0.72 (46%)attempts 10–15goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 57% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).