Thu, Jan 6, 2022·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise
New York Rangers 1, Vegas Golden Knights 5
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 78% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 09 | 17 | 04 | 120 |
| VGK | 111 | 213 | 211 | 535 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 18:35VGKJonathan MarchessaultPPAssists: Reilly Smith, Nicolas Roy · Backhand, 0.22 xG0–1
- P2 0:52NYRChris KreiderAssists: Mika Zibanejad, Kaapo Kakko · Wrist, 0.02 xG1–1
- P2 8:14VGKMark StoneGWGAssists: Evgenii Dadonov, Chandler Stephenson · Wrist, 0.30 xG1–2
- P2 13:08VGKMattias JanmarkAssists: Keegan Kolesar, Ben Hutton · Wrist, 0.09 xG1–3
- P3 2:11VGKBrett HowdenAssists: Nolan Patrick, Dylan Coghlan · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–4
- P3 12:59VGKJonathan MarchessaultAssists: Reilly Smith · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–5
Penalties (5)
- P1 14:50VGKShea Theodore: Hooking2 min
- P1 17:52NYRRyan Lindgren: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 17:56NYRGreg McKegg: Slashing2 min
- P3 16:18VGKBen Hutton: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 18:11NYRJacob Trouba: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Roy won the faceoff against McKegg
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestStrome – Goodrow – Lafrenière13:00
xG 0.49–0.40 (55%)attempts 9–8goals 0–0
- Kreider – Zibanejad – Kakko11:33
xG 0.91–0.97 (48%)attempts 16–10goals 1–1
- Hunt – Gauthier – Chytil7:05
xG 0.04–0.15 (19%)attempts 4–8goals 0–0
- Reaves – McKegg – Rooney7:15
xG 0.00–0.53 (0%)attempts 0–13goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestTrouba – Miller16:41
xG 0.74–0.24 (76%)attempts 19–6goals 1–0
- Fox – Lindgren15:17
xG 0.85–1.06 (44%)attempts 10–14goals 0–0
- Fox – Hajek2:04
xG 0.02–0.40 (6%)attempts 2–4goals 0–1
Vegas Golden Knights
Forward lines
- bestDadonov – Stone – Stephenson11:18
xG 0.97–0.17 (85%)attempts 12–9goals 1–1
- Janmark – Kolesar – Roy10:29
xG 0.35–0.08 (81%)attempts 12–3goals 1–0
- Carrier – Howden – Patrick9:23
xG 0.23–0.26 (46%)attempts 5–8goals 1–0
- Smith – Karlsson – Marchessault11:27
xG 0.36–0.89 (29%)attempts 10–10goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestPietrangelo – McNabb17:22
xG 0.94–0.50 (65%)attempts 16–11goals 1–1
- Hutton – Coghlan12:12
xG 0.75–0.43 (64%)attempts 16–6goals 1–0
- Theodore – Whitecloud18:03
xG 0.86–0.81 (52%)attempts 17–16goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VGK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VGK is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 78% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VGK − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).