Thu, Feb 17, 2022·Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg
Seattle Kraken 3, Winnipeg Jets 5
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 70% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 210 | 09 | 14 | 323 |
| WPG | 17 | 210 | 212 | 529 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:21SEAVince DunnPPAssists: Jared McCann, Yanni Gourde · Slap, 0.05 xG1–0
- P1 12:15SEAMarcus JohanssonAssists: Alexander Wennberg, Jordan Eberle · Wrist, 0.08 xG2–0
- P1 19:47WPGDominic ToninatoSHAssists: Adam Lowry, Dylan DeMelo · Wrist, 0.13 xG2–1
- P2 1:45WPGPierre-Luc DuboisAssists: Blake Wheeler · Wrist, 0.05 xG2–2
- P2 11:54WPGBlake WheelerAssists: Paul Stastny · Wrist, 0.15 xG2–3
- P3 7:02SEAJordan EberleAssists: Marcus Johansson, Mark Giordano · Tip-in, 0.22 xG3–3
- P3 13:50WPGJosh MorrisseyGWGAssists: Kyle Connor, Kristian Reichel · Snap, 0.14 xG3–4
- P3 19:59WPGKyle ConnorENAssists: Dylan DeMelo · Backhand, 0.79 xG3–5
Penalties (7)
- P1 1:34WPGLogan Stanley: Boarding2 min · PPG
- P1 4:59SEAJordan Eberle: Holding2 min
- P1 19:25WPGPierre-Luc Dubois: High sticking2 min
- P2 15:24SEAYanni Gourde: Boarding2 min
- P2 15:24WPGMark Scheifele: Roughing2 min
- P2 15:24SEAYanni Gourde: Roughing2 min
- P3 9:34SEARyan Donato: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Gourde won the faceoff against Scheifele
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestEberle – Johansson – Wennberg11:37
xG 0.75–0.34 (69%)attempts 15–10goals 2–1
- Sheahan – Blackwell – Geekie8:08
xG 0.24–0.13 (65%)attempts 9–2goals 0–0
- Donskoi – McCann – Donato10:08
xG 0.44–0.37 (54%)attempts 10–6goals 0–1
- Jarnkrok – Gourde – Appleton8:52
xG 0.04–0.69 (6%)attempts 3–12goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestOleksiak – Soucy11:35
xG 0.42–0.10 (81%)attempts 8–5goals 0–0
- Giordano – Larsson14:09
xG 0.63–0.74 (46%)attempts 16–11goals 2–2
- Dunn – Lauzon16:26
xG 0.65–0.78 (45%)attempts 15–17goals 0–0
Winnipeg Jets
Forward lines
- bestWheeler – Stastny – Scheifele12:53
xG 0.83–0.65 (56%)attempts 15–12goals 1–1
- Connor – Dubois – Reichel2:10
xG 0.15–0.01 (92%)attempts 2–1goals 1–0
- Connor – Dubois – Perfetti11:39
xG 0.40–0.32 (56%)attempts 8–8goals 0–0
- Toninato – Poganski – Harkins3:41
xG 0.16–0.13 (54%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDeMelo – Morrissey14:04
xG 0.78–0.45 (63%)attempts 12–10goals 1–2
- Dillon – Pionk14:02
xG 0.73–0.52 (58%)attempts 14–13goals 1–0
- Schmidt – Stanley13:16
xG 0.28–0.71 (28%)attempts 8–17goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
WPG's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line WPG is favoured, below it SEA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 70% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (WPG − SEA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).