Sat, Jan 8, 2022·Honda Center, Anaheim
New York Rangers 4, Anaheim Ducks 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 83% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 012 | 18 | 320 | 440 |
| ANA | 07 | 14 | 03 | 114 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 11:05ANAIsac LundeströmAssists: Troy Terry · Wrist, 0.17 xG0–1
- P2 14:00NYRMika ZibanejadAssists: Kaapo Kakko, Jacob Trouba · Wrist, 0.11 xG1–1
- P3 1:46NYRJarred TinordiGWGAssists: Kevin Rooney, Filip Chytil · Slap, 0.02 xG2–1
- P3 10:02NYRRyan LindgrenAssists: Adam Fox, Morgan Barron · Snap, 0.04 xG3–1
- P3 19:29NYRRyan LindgrenENAssists: Barclay Goodrow · Wrist, 0.78 xG4–1
Penalties (7)
- P1 6:43ANATrevor Zegras: High sticking double minor4 min
- P2 15:44NYRBarclay Goodrow: Hooking2 min
- P3 8:00ANAJakob Silfverberg: Tripping2 min
- P3 10:50NYRGreg McKegg: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 11:58ANARickard Rakell: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P3 16:38ANACam Fowler: Hooking2 min
- P3 17:23NYRRyan Lindgren: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zibanejad won the faceoff against Lundeström
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestBrodzinski – Gettinger – Barron7:56
xG 0.22–0.11 (67%)attempts 6–5goals 1–0
- Kreider – Zibanejad – Kakko10:20
xG 0.63–0.53 (54%)attempts 8–11goals 1–1
- Strome – Goodrow – Lafrenière12:46
xG 0.60–0.66 (47%)attempts 10–10goals 0–0
- McKegg – Rooney – Chytil10:08
xG 0.05–0.36 (13%)attempts 3–13goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestFox – Lindgren17:31
xG 0.74–0.46 (62%)attempts 13–11goals 1–0
- Tinordi – Lundkvist10:49
xG 0.33–0.40 (45%)attempts 6–13goals 1–0
- Trouba – Miller14:49
xG 0.64–0.79 (45%)attempts 12–14goals 1–1
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestMilano – Zegras – Perreault8:52
xG 0.49–0.13 (79%)attempts 11–4goals 0–1
- Silfverberg – Rakell – Steel12:49
xG 0.42–0.37 (53%)attempts 10–10goals 0–0
- Deslauriers – Robinson – Groulx5:11
xG 0.20–0.19 (52%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Terry – Comtois – Lundeström11:56
xG 0.58–0.62 (49%)attempts 11–7goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestShattenkirk – Drysdale16:55
xG 0.79–0.47 (63%)attempts 17–11goals 0–1
- Pateryn – Benoit9:55
xG 0.27–0.08 (76%)attempts 6–2goals 0–0
- Fowler – Manson17:37
xG 0.79–1.03 (43%)attempts 18–16goals 1–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 83% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).