Sat, Jan 8, 2022·Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
Detroit Red Wings 0, Los Angeles Kings 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 87% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 02 | 010 | 09 | 021 |
| LAK | 227 | 18 | 17 | 442 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 6:27LAKPhillip DanaultGWGAssists: Arthur Kaliyev, Dustin Brown · Wrist, 0.27 xG0–1
- P1 9:06LAKDrew DoughtyAssists: Rasmus Kupari, Dustin Brown · Slap, 0.02 xG0–2
- P2 16:23LAKAdrian KempeSHAssists: Matt Roy, Blake Lizotte · Snap, 0.17 xG0–3
- P3 17:29LAKTrevor MooreENUnassisted · Wrist, 0.79 xG0–4
Penalties (7)
- P1 4:23DETJoseph Veleno: Tripping2 min
- P1 9:12DETDylan Larkin: Fighting5 min
- P1 9:12LAKPhillip Danault: Fighting5 min
- P1 9:12DETDylan Larkin: Cross checking2 min
- P2 4:05LAKMikey Anderson: Interference2 min
- P2 14:41LAKDrew Doughty: Interference2 min
- P3 3:18DETNick Leddy: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Suter
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Detroit Red Wings
Forward lines
- Bertuzzi – Fabbri – Raymond2:14
xG 0.21–0.17 (56%)attempts 3–5goals 0–0
- Namestnikov – Erne – Veleno5:37
xG 0.17–0.22 (45%)attempts 4–8goals 0–0
- Gagner – Smith – Zadina3:16
xG 0.00–0.06 (0%)attempts 1–3goals 0–1
- Fabbri – Rasmussen – Suter7:10
xG 0.22–0.45 (32%)attempts 3–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestLeddy – Seider2:26
xG 0.14–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- DeKeyser – Seider12:33
xG 0.28–0.64 (31%)attempts 5–14goals 0–0
- Leddy – Hronek16:52
xG 0.68–1.04 (40%)attempts 19–19goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestLemieux – Lizotte – Kaliyev10:43
xG 0.75–0.07 (91%)attempts 16–6goals 0–0
- Danault – Arvidsson – Moore8:53
xG 0.70–0.28 (72%)attempts 12–8goals 0–0
- Kopitar – Frk – Kempe11:07
xG 0.52–0.11 (82%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
- Brown – Andersson – Kupari7:32
xG 0.43–0.35 (55%)attempts 8–4goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestDoughty – Anderson16:25
xG 0.86–0.20 (81%)attempts 21–9goals 1–0
- Durzi – Bjornfot12:52
xG 0.99–0.55 (64%)attempts 18–11goals 0–0
- Maatta – Roy13:22
xG 0.41–0.52 (44%)attempts 7–12goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it DET. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 87% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − DET), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).