Sat, Feb 12, 2022·Centre Bell, Montreal
Columbus Blue Jackets 2, Montréal Canadiens 1
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 73% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 118 | 014 | 110 | 242 |
| MTL | 08 | 09 | 114 | 131 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:16CBJOliver BjorkstrandAssists: Patrik Laine · Wrist, 0.11 xG1–0
- P3 2:55MTLCole CaufieldAssists: Ryan Poehling · Wrist, 0.09 xG1–1
- P3 19:52CBJPatrik LainePPGWGAssists: Zach Werenski, Jakub Voracek · Slap, 0.08 xG2–1
Penalties (6)
- P1 10:01CBJMax Domi: Roughing2 min
- P1 10:01MTLChris Wideman: Tripping2 min
- P1 14:09MTLBrett Kulak: Hooking2 min
- P2 2:51MTLBen Chiarot: Tripping2 min
- P3 9:00CBJCole Sillinger: Slashing2 min
- P3 18:33MTLJeff Petry: Tripping2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Suzuki won the faceoff against Kuraly
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestNyquist – Kuraly – Domi11:57
xG 1.47–0.36 (80%)attempts 20–8goals 0–0
- Jenner – Bjorkstrand – Laine13:26
xG 0.90–0.72 (56%)attempts 21–12goals 1–0
- Gaunce – Roslovic – Fix-Wolansky5:38
xG 0.30–0.19 (61%)attempts 6–6goals 0–1
- Voracek – Chinakhov – Sillinger9:42
xG 0.25–0.40 (39%)attempts 4–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestWerenski – Peeke17:03
xG 1.41–0.57 (71%)attempts 25–14goals 1–0
- Werenski – Boqvist2:20
xG 0.67–0.14 (83%)attempts 6–2goals 0–0
- Werenski – Gavrikov2:04
xG 0.27–0.03 (91%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
Montréal Canadiens
Forward lines
- bestArmia – Poehling – Caufield7:41
xG 0.28–0.14 (66%)attempts 9–7goals 1–0
- Toffoli – Lehkonen – Suzuki11:36
xG 0.75–0.69 (52%)attempts 11–11goals 0–0
- Byron – Hoffman – Gallagher9:29
xG 0.22–0.65 (25%)attempts 8–9goals 0–0
- Anderson – Evans – Pitlick11:53
xG 0.31–1.58 (16%)attempts 7–23goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestWideman – Chiarot2:06
xG 0.16–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Petry – Kulak6:05
xG 0.22–0.13 (63%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Wideman – Romanov6:27
xG 0.44–0.58 (43%)attempts 8–7goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
MTL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line MTL is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 73% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (MTL − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).