Mon, Jan 10, 2022·Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
New York Rangers 1, Los Angeles Kings 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 86% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 06 | 09 | 18 | 123 |
| LAK | 013 | 218 | 18 | 339 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 0:55LAKPhillip DanaultAssists: Trevor Moore · Backhand, 0.17 xG0–1
- P2 3:41LAKBlake LizotteGWGAssists: Viktor Arvidsson, Trevor Moore · Backhand, 0.19 xG0–2
- P3 11:27NYRMika ZibanejadAssists: Filip Chytil, Greg McKegg · Tip-in, 0.09 xG1–2
- P3 18:43LAKAdrian KempeENAssists: Anze Kopitar · Wrist, 0.52 xG1–3
Penalties (5)
- P1 7:01NYRKaapo Kakko: High sticking2 min
- P1 9:59LAKMatt Roy: Tripping2 min
- P1 18:22LAKViktor Arvidsson: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 12:33NYRJacob Trouba: Holding2 min
- P3 13:01NYRAlexis Lafrenière: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Danault won the faceoff against Strome
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestMcKegg – Rooney – Chytil7:13
xG 0.33–0.26 (56%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
- Brodzinski – Gettinger – Barron6:29
xG 0.08–0.03 (76%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
- Kreider – Zibanejad – Kakko11:47
xG 0.15–0.21 (42%)attempts 7–11goals 0–0
- Strome – Panarin – Lafrenière12:58
xG 0.39–1.25 (24%)attempts 10–20goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestFox – Lindgren16:40
xG 0.76–0.44 (64%)attempts 17–14goals 1–0
- Nemeth – Tinordi12:58
xG 0.10–0.66 (13%)attempts 2–14goals 0–1
- Trouba – Miller15:03
xG 0.22–0.91 (20%)attempts 9–20goals 0–1
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestDanault – Arvidsson – Moore12:38
xG 0.86–0.18 (82%)attempts 18–7goals 1–0
- Brown – Kupari – Turcotte7:59
xG 0.47–0.40 (54%)attempts 10–6goals 0–0
- Kopitar – Kempe – Iafallo12:26
xG 0.27–0.22 (55%)attempts 11–7goals 0–0
- Lemieux – Lizotte – Kaliyev9:08
xG 0.25–0.24 (51%)attempts 3–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDoughty – Anderson16:19
xG 0.94–0.43 (69%)attempts 15–8goals 2–0
- Maatta – Roy15:22
xG 0.54–0.15 (78%)attempts 23–9goals 0–0
- Durzi – Bjornfot11:19
xG 0.65–0.36 (64%)attempts 10–6goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 86% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).