Tue, Jan 11, 2022·FLA Live Arena, Sunrise
Vancouver Canucks 2, Florida Panthers 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 58% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 111 | 016 | 117 | 244 |
| FLA | 27 | 313 | 06 | 526 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 5:18FLAAaron EkbladAssists: Frank Vatrano, Anton Lundell · Wrist, 0.02 xG0–1
- P1 6:24FLASam ReinhartAssists: Radko Gudas, Aleksander Barkov · Tip-in, 0.10 xG0–2
- P1 11:31VANJason DickinsonAssists: Conor Garland, Brad Hunt · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–2
- P2 8:46FLASam ReinhartPPGWGAssists: Jonathan Huberdeau, Aaron Ekblad · Wrist, 0.19 xG1–3
- P2 9:12FLAMaxim MaminAssists: Anton Lundell, Frank Vatrano · Backhand, 0.01 xG1–4
- P2 19:00FLAAleksander BarkovSHAssists: Aaron Ekblad, Sam Reinhart · Wrist, 0.17 xG1–5
- P3 4:34VANJuho LammikkoAssists: Tyler Motte, Brad Hunt · Backhand, 0.21 xG2–5
Penalties (12)
- P1 6:24VANJ.T. Miller: Fighting5 min
- P1 6:24FLARadko Gudas: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P1 6:24FLARadko Gudas: Fighting5 min
- P1 14:42VANTyler Myers: Tripping2 min
- P2 7:47VANTyler Motte: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 17:10FLACarter Verhaeghe: High sticking2 min
- P3 5:44VANConor Garland: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P3 18:00FLASam Bennett: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P3 18:09VANTanner Pearson: Fighting5 min
- P3 18:09FLAMacKenzie Weegar: Cross checking2 min
- P3 18:09VANTanner Pearson: Interference2 min
- P3 18:09FLAMacKenzie Weegar: Fighting5 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Miller won the faceoff against Barkov
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestMotte – Lammikko – Highmore9:05
xG 0.58–0.25 (70%)attempts 10–8goals 1–0
- Pearson – Pettersson – Hoglander9:04
xG 0.44–0.17 (72%)attempts 14–12goals 0–2
- Miller – Boeser – Podkolzin13:49
xG 0.76–0.58 (57%)attempts 11–17goals 0–1
- Dickinson – Horvat – Garland10:03
xG 0.28–0.15 (65%)attempts 11–2goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestHunt – Poolman11:16
xG 1.04–0.29 (78%)attempts 20–14goals 2–2
- Myers – Ekman-Larsson9:38
xG 0.26–0.13 (67%)attempts 10–7goals 0–1
- Schenn – Ekman-Larsson7:35
xG 0.31–0.25 (56%)attempts 5–5goals 0–0
Florida Panthers
Forward lines
- bestHuberdeau – Duclair – Bennett10:54
xG 0.66–0.44 (60%)attempts 10–11goals 0–0
- Lomberg – Heponiemi – Luostarinen8:50
xG 0.25–0.18 (58%)attempts 7–6goals 0–0
- Vatrano – Mamin – Lundell11:26
xG 0.41–0.40 (51%)attempts 13–13goals 2–1
- Verhaeghe – Barkov – Reinhart11:35
xG 0.51–0.71 (42%)attempts 16–16goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestGudas – Forsling14:18
xG 1.05–0.63 (62%)attempts 14–14goals 2–0
- Montour – Forsling2:36
xG 0.05–0.36 (11%)attempts 4–3goals 0–1
- Montour – Juolevi14:16
xG 0.36–0.70 (34%)attempts 14–14goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
FLA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line FLA is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 58% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (FLA − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).