Wed, Jan 12, 2022·American Airlines Center, Dallas
Seattle Kraken 2, Dallas Stars 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 53% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 15 | 16 | 014 | 225 |
| DAL | 310 | 18 | 17 | 525 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:50DALRoope HintzAssists: Jason Robertson, Joe Pavelski · Deflected, 0.11 xG0–1
- P1 8:25SEACalle JarnkrokPPAssists: Marcus Johansson, Jared McCann · Snap, 0.15 xG1–1
- P1 11:00DALJoe PavelskiAssists: Miro Heiskanen, Ryan Suter · Wrist, 0.23 xG1–2
- P1 13:01DALJason RobertsonPPGWGAssists: Roope Hintz, Joe Pavelski · Backhand, 0.18 xG1–3
- P2 5:38SEAJared McCannAssists: Jordan Eberle, Vince Dunn · Snap, 0.12 xG2–3
- P2 18:37DALJoe PavelskiAssists: Esa Lindell · Tip-in, 0.11 xG2–4
- P3 18:18DALJani HakanpääENAssists: Roope Hintz, Joe Pavelski · Wrist, 0.43 xG2–5
Penalties (5)
- P1 7:29DALRoope Hintz: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P1 11:53SEAAdam Larsson: Delaying game2 min · PPG
- P1 12:45SEACarson Soucy: Hooking2 min
- P2 16:28DALJamie Benn: Hooking2 min
- P3 3:37DALTyler Seguin: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Seguin won the faceoff against Gourde
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestEberle – Johansson – McCann12:28
xG 0.67–0.39 (63%)attempts 12–11goals 1–1
- Jarnkrok – Blackwell – Gourde9:31
xG 0.28–0.05 (85%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
- Wennberg – Donato – Appleton12:18
xG 0.47–0.49 (49%)attempts 9–8goals 0–0
- Sheahan – Donskoi – McCormick8:16
xG 0.27–0.38 (42%)attempts 9–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSoucy – Borgen12:00
xG 0.45–0.32 (59%)attempts 8–10goals 0–0
- Larsson – Dunn17:13
xG 0.42–0.38 (52%)attempts 12–8goals 1–1
- Giordano – Oleksiak15:31
xG 0.77–0.88 (47%)attempts 19–15goals 0–2
Dallas Stars
Forward lines
- bestPavelski – Hintz – Robertson12:21
xG 0.74–0.27 (73%)attempts 13–8goals 2–1
- Benn – Seguin – Peterson11:51
xG 0.53–0.36 (60%)attempts 12–7goals 0–0
- Kero – Gardner – Kiviranta6:01
xG 0.15–0.26 (36%)attempts 2–5goals 0–0
- Glendening – Faksa – Raffl11:05
xG 0.18–0.50 (26%)attempts 7–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHakanpää – Lindell5:25
xG 0.23–0.05 (83%)attempts 2–6goals 1–0
- Sekera – Hakanpää8:11
xG 0.25–0.18 (59%)attempts 8–5goals 0–0
- Klingberg – Lindell13:19
xG 0.45–0.47 (49%)attempts 9–13goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
DAL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line DAL is favoured, below it SEA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 53% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (DAL − SEA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).