Thu, Jan 13, 2022·TD Garden, Boston
Philadelphia Flyers 2, Boston Bruins 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 68% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 06 | 29 | 012 | 227 |
| BOS | 212 | 117 | 07 | 336 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:51BOSDavid PastrnakAssists: Erik Haula, Taylor Hall · Wrist, 0.10 xG0–1
- P1 5:27BOSDavid PastrnakPPAssists: Brad Marchand, Charlie McAvoy · Wrist, 0.09 xG0–2
- P2 8:02PHICam AtkinsonPPAssists: Ivan Provorov, Keith Yandle · Tip-in, 0.11 xG1–2
- P2 15:00PHIJoel FarabeeAssists: Cam Atkinson, Keith Yandle · Backhand, 0.07 xG2–2
- P2 16:45BOSDavid PastrnakPPGWGAssists: Charlie McAvoy, Brad Marchand · Snap, 0.27 xG2–3
Penalties (14)
- P1 4:04PHINick Seeler: Holding2 min · PPG
- P1 5:48PHIIvan Provorov: High sticking2 min
- P1 15:28BOSDavid Pastrnak: Interference2 min
- P1 15:28BOSTyler Lewington: Roughing2 min
- P1 15:28PHIZack MacEwen: Roughing2 min
- P2 2:51PHIZack MacEwen: Fighting5 min
- P2 2:51BOSTyler Lewington: Fighting5 min
- P2 6:26BOSTomas Nosek: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 9:07PHIMax Willman: Roughing2 min
- P2 9:07BOSDavid Pastrnak: Roughing2 min
- P2 15:16PHIJustin Braun: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 16:29PHIMax Willman: Hooking2 min
- P3 12:05BOSBrandon Carlo: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 13:15BOSCharlie Coyle: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Nosek won the faceoff against Hayes
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestGiroux – Atkinson – Farabee10:08
xG 0.37–0.17 (68%)attempts 7–4goals 1–0
- Willman – MacEwen – Frost2:22
xG 0.02–0.12 (18%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Laughton – Lindblom – Cates2:11
xG 0.01–0.16 (8%)attempts 1–3goals 0–1
- van Riemsdyk – Hayes – Konecny9:48
xG 0.11–0.28 (28%)attempts 7–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Yandle – Seeler8:09
xG 0.37–0.39 (49%)attempts 6–7goals 1–0
- Sanheim – Provorov5:45
xG 0.17–0.31 (35%)attempts 6–3goals 0–1
- Sanheim – York7:49
xG 0.07–0.22 (23%)attempts 4–6goals 0–0
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestHaula – Hall – Pastrnak9:21
xG 0.93–0.34 (73%)attempts 14–6goals 1–0
- Coyle – DeBrusk – Steen7:54
xG 0.53–0.12 (81%)attempts 8–6goals 0–0
- Blidh – Lazar – Nosek7:24
xG 0.32–0.06 (85%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
- Bergeron – Marchand – Smith9:41
xG 0.12–0.20 (37%)attempts 4–6goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestReilly – Carlo12:04
xG 0.66–0.29 (69%)attempts 12–7goals 0–0
- McAvoy – Vaakanainen12:17
xG 0.71–0.35 (67%)attempts 11–8goals 1–1
- Lewington – Ahcan9:45
xG 0.50–0.33 (61%)attempts 11–9goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it PHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 68% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − PHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).