Thu, Jan 13, 2022·United Center, Chicago
Montréal Canadiens 2, Chicago Blackhawks 3 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 57% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTL | 03 | 217 | 08 | 01 | 229 |
| CHI | 113 | 06 | 111 | 11 | 331 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:42CHIDominik KubalikAssists: Jonathan Toews, Riley Stillman · Wrist, 0.13 xG0–1
- P2 12:41MTLJeff PetryAssists: Artturi Lehkonen, Alexander Romanov · Slap, 0.14 xG1–1
- P2 18:16MTLMike HoffmanPPAssists: Cole Caufield, Ben Chiarot · Wrist, 0.11 xG2–1
- P3 2:21CHIPatrick KanePPAssists: Erik Gustafsson, Alex DeBrincat · Wrist, 0.04 xG2–2
- OT 2:24CHIPhilipp KurashevGWGAssists: Brandon Hagel, Erik Gustafsson · Wrist, 0.26 xG2–3
Penalties (11)
- P1 9:05MTLCorey Schueneman: Hooking2 min
- P1 16:47CHIJonathan Toews: Holding2 min
- P2 7:42CHIJujhar Khaira: Tripping2 min
- P2 17:45CHIRyan Carpenter: Instigator2 min · PPG
- P2 17:45CHIRyan Carpenter: Fighting5 min
- P2 17:45CHIRyan Carpenter: Misconduct10 min
- P2 17:45MTLAlexander Romanov: Fighting5 min · PPG
- P2 19:18CHIRiley Stillman: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 2:10MTLJeff Petry: Tripping2 min
- P3 7:08MTLJoel Armia: Illegal check to head2 min
- P3 16:50MTLLaurent Dauphin: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Carpenter won the faceoff against Dvorak
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Montréal Canadiens
Forward lines
- bestLehkonen – Poehling – Caufield6:56
xG 0.41–0.05 (90%)attempts 11–1goals 1–0
- Armia – Dauphin – Pezzetta6:13
xG 0.31–0.16 (66%)attempts 5–6goals 0–0
- Hoffman – Evans – Suzuki7:12
xG 0.27–0.36 (43%)attempts 8–7goals 0–0
- Drouin – Dvorak – Pitlick11:47
xG 0.27–0.46 (37%)attempts 5–11goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestSavard – Romanov2:52
xG 0.33–0.00 (100%)attempts 7–0goals 0–0
- Petry – Kulak7:59
xG 0.19–0.12 (61%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
- Petry – Romanov5:55
xG 0.23–0.26 (48%)attempts 6–5goals 1–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestKane – Hagel – Reichel10:57
xG 0.34–0.20 (64%)attempts 8–7goals 0–0
- Khaira – Carpenter – Lafferty7:34
xG 0.22–0.18 (55%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
- Borgstrom – Entwistle – Kurashev4:33
xG 0.22–0.22 (50%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
- Kubalik – Borgstrom – Kurashev4:30
xG 0.05–0.11 (31%)attempts 3–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGustafsson – Jones9:39
xG 0.48–0.06 (89%)attempts 8–3goals 0–0
- Gustafsson – Stillman2:52
xG 0.27–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–0goals 0–0
- Stillman – Galvas12:25
xG 0.39–0.56 (41%)attempts 14–15goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it MTL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 57% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − MTL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).