Thu, Jan 13, 2022·Enterprise Center, St. Louis
Seattle Kraken 1, St. Louis Blues 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 62% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 115 | 08 | 09 | 132 |
| STL | 08 | 012 | 27 | 227 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 15:00SEAAlexander WennbergAssists: Ryan Donato, Carson Soucy · Wrist, 0.17 xG1–0
- P3 1:29STLRobert ThomasAssists: Brandon Saad, Torey Krug · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–1
- P3 5:30STLPavel BuchnevichPPGWGAssists: Ivan Barbashev, Jordan Kyrou · Wrist, 0.24 xG1–2
Penalties (8)
- P1 3:56SEAMark Giordano: Slashing2 min
- P1 15:46STLJordan Kyrou: Holding2 min
- P2 5:18SEAChris Driedger: Tripping2 min
- P2 7:45SEAVince Dunn: High sticking2 min
- P2 11:59SEAMark Giordano: Tripping2 min
- P2 18:59STLCalle Rosen: Holding2 min
- P3 5:18SEAMax McCormick: Holding2 min · PPG
- P3 17:45STLBrandon Saad: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00McCann won the faceoff against O'Reilly
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestEberle – Johansson – McCann11:03
xG 0.54–0.35 (61%)attempts 10–11goals 0–0
- Jarnkrok – Blackwell – Gourde9:11
xG 0.54–0.36 (60%)attempts 10–9goals 0–0
- Wennberg – Donato – Appleton11:14
xG 0.35–0.25 (59%)attempts 6–8goals 1–0
- Sheahan – Donskoi – McCormick3:37
xG 0.06–0.06 (50%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestOleksiak – Soucy11:56
xG 0.85–0.10 (90%)attempts 14–5goals 1–0
- Larsson – Dunn13:20
xG 0.75–0.43 (63%)attempts 11–13goals 0–1
- Oleksiak – Dunn2:27
xG 0.27–0.05 (85%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
St. Louis Blues
Forward lines
- bestSaad – Kyrou – Thomas8:51
xG 0.42–0.17 (72%)attempts 12–4goals 1–0
- Sundqvist – Walker – Kostin4:21
xG 0.07–0.17 (30%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
- Neal – Sundqvist – Kostin4:38
xG 0.04–0.16 (22%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
- O'Reilly – Buchnevich – Barbashev10:30
xG 0.32–0.84 (28%)attempts 7–10goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestScandella – Krug4:34
xG 0.28–0.00 (100%)attempts 9–1goals 0–0
- Bortuzzo – Walman6:48
xG 0.18–0.10 (65%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Faulk – Krug8:10
xG 0.41–0.34 (55%)attempts 8–7goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
STL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line STL is favoured, below it SEA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 62% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (STL − SEA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).