Thu, Jan 13, 2022·Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
Pittsburgh Penguins 2, Los Angeles Kings 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 82% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIT | 19 | 08 | 112 | 229 |
| LAK | 110 | 120 | 415 | 645 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:42PITKris LetangAssists: Dominik Simon, Brian Dumoulin · Backhand, 0.05 xG1–0
- P1 13:48LAKAnze KopitarAssists: Alex Iafallo · Snap, 0.22 xG1–1
- P2 14:32LAKDustin BrownPPAssists: Trevor Moore, Sean Durzi · Snap, 0.32 xG1–2
- P3 1:37PITRadim ZohornaAssists: Teddy Blueger, Chad Ruhwedel · Wrist, 0.11 xG2–2
- P3 3:07LAKMikey AndersonGWGAssists: Anze Kopitar, Adrian Kempe · Slap, 0.03 xG2–3
- P3 3:17LAKViktor ArvidssonAssists: Trevor Moore, Drew Doughty · Wrist, 0.07 xG2–4
- P3 4:30LAKAnze KopitarAssists: Alex Iafallo, Sean Durzi · Wrist, 0.17 xG2–5
- P3 18:20LAKSean DurziAssists: Dustin Brown, Rasmus Kupari · Slap, 0.01 xG2–6
Penalties (4)
- P1 19:32PITEvgeni Malkin: Interference2 min
- P2 12:46PITMike Matheson: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 16:37LAKViktor Arvidsson: Slashing2 min
- P3 7:24PITMarcus Pettersson: Cross checking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Crosby
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Pittsburgh Penguins
Forward lines
- bestCarter – Malkin – Kapanen12:54
xG 1.28–0.87 (60%)attempts 16–14goals 0–2
- Boyle – Bjorkqvist – O'Connor7:06
xG 0.57–0.25 (70%)attempts 7–4goals 0–1
- Blueger – Simon – Zohorna10:22
xG 0.53–0.21 (72%)attempts 10–4goals 2–0
- Crosby – Guentzel – Rodrigues15:24
xG 0.67–1.41 (32%)attempts 11–19goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Matheson – Ruhwedel12:55
xG 0.49–0.73 (40%)attempts 10–9goals 1–1
- Pettersson – Marino13:26
xG 0.60–0.94 (39%)attempts 10–14goals 0–2
- Letang – Dumoulin16:30
xG 1.01–1.49 (40%)attempts 16–19goals 1–2
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestKopitar – Kempe – Iafallo14:37
xG 1.47–0.40 (79%)attempts 19–8goals 3–0
- Danault – Arvidsson – Moore15:03
xG 1.72–1.27 (57%)attempts 21–14goals 1–0
- Brown – Kupari – Turcotte9:26
xG 0.37–0.46 (45%)attempts 5–6goals 1–1
- Fagemo – Lizotte – Kaliyev10:36
xG 0.40–1.11 (27%)attempts 8–17goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestDoughty – Anderson17:08
xG 1.52–0.56 (73%)attempts 23–13goals 2–0
- Maatta – Roy18:22
xG 1.22–0.88 (58%)attempts 16–11goals 1–0
- Durzi – Bjornfot14:10
xG 0.85–1.52 (36%)attempts 11–21goals 2–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it PIT. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 82% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − PIT), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).