Thu, Jan 13, 2022·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
New York Rangers 3, San Jose Sharks 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 59% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 16 | 013 | 212 | 331 |
| SJS | 010 | 010 | 017 | 037 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 10:25NYRChris KreiderSHGWGAssists: Mika Zibanejad, Adam Fox · Wrist, 0.11 xG1–0
- P3 1:27NYRBraden SchneiderAssists: Ryan Strome, Filip Chytil · Wrist, 0.09 xG2–0
- P3 19:32NYRChris KreiderENAssists: Kevin Rooney · Backhand, 0.79 xG3–0
Penalties (7)
- P1 10:14NYRRyan Strome: Cross checking2 min
- P2 3:40SJSAdam Raska: Boarding2 min
- P2 9:15NYRJacob Trouba: Interference2 min
- P2 9:15SJSTimo Meier: Cross checking2 min
- P2 12:24NYRJacob Trouba: Fighting5 min
- P2 12:24SJSJeffrey Viel: Fighting5 min
- P3 17:00NYRJacob Trouba: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zibanejad won the faceoff against Couture
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestMcKegg – Rooney – Greco9:00
xG 0.72–0.21 (77%)attempts 8–12goals 0–0
- Kreider – Zibanejad – Kakko12:55
xG 0.22–0.02 (92%)attempts 10–3goals 0–0
- Brodzinski – Gettinger – Barron8:01
xG 0.31–0.59 (34%)attempts 5–11goals 0–0
- Strome – Panarin – Chytil11:40
xG 0.26–0.90 (23%)attempts 11–17goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestFox – Lindgren15:11
xG 0.35–0.08 (81%)attempts 9–10goals 0–0
- Nemeth – Schneider11:50
xG 0.52–0.28 (65%)attempts 11–12goals 1–0
- Lindgren – Miller2:10
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–0goals 0–0
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestHertl – Meier – Balcers10:03
xG 0.67–0.15 (82%)attempts 11–8goals 0–0
- Viel – Weatherby – Raska5:56
xG 0.53–0.23 (70%)attempts 7–6goals 0–0
- Couture – Balcers – Gregor3:22
xG 0.15–0.05 (75%)attempts 8–2goals 0–0
- Couture – Dahlen – Gregor7:52
xG 0.00–0.01 (0%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBurns – Ferraro17:23
xG 0.82–0.32 (72%)attempts 8–16goals 0–0
- Karlsson – Megna12:53
xG 0.48–0.15 (76%)attempts 15–8goals 0–1
- Burns – Karlsson3:05
xG 0.29–0.16 (65%)attempts 8–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 59% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).