Tue, Feb 8, 2022·Rogers Place, Edmonton
Vegas Golden Knights 4, Edmonton Oilers 0
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 52% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VGK | 26 | 111 | 111 | 428 |
| EDM | 012 | 09 | 07 | 028 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 9:59VGKBrett HowdenGWGAssists: Shea Theodore, William Carrier · Snap, 0.06 xG1–0
- P1 16:55VGKWilliam KarlssonSHAssists: Reilly Smith · Wrist, 0.15 xG2–0
- P2 3:05VGKAlex PietrangeloAssists: Jonathan Marchessault · Wrist, 0.11 xG3–0
- P3 0:14VGKReilly SmithAssists: William Karlsson, Brayden McNabb · Wrist, 0.07 xG4–0
Penalties (6)
- P1 16:00VGKShea Theodore: Interference2 min
- P2 0:51EDMCody Ceci: High sticking2 min
- P2 7:10VGKChandler Stephenson: High sticking2 min
- P2 13:39VGKMax Pacioretty: Interference2 min
- P3 16:41VGKMattias Janmark: Roughing2 min
- P3 16:41EDMDarnell Nurse: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Stephenson won the faceoff against McDavid
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vegas Golden Knights
Forward lines
- bestSmith – Karlsson – Marchessault9:05
xG 0.64–0.14 (82%)attempts 9–8goals 1–0
- Dadonov – Janmark – Roy8:25
xG 0.43–0.31 (58%)attempts 11–10goals 0–0
- Carrier – Kolesar – Howden6:21
xG 0.21–0.39 (35%)attempts 6–8goals 1–0
- Pacioretty – Stone – Stephenson12:02
xG 0.40–0.65 (38%)attempts 6–14goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestPietrangelo – Hutton9:01
xG 0.54–0.37 (60%)attempts 9–10goals 0–0
- Coghlan – Hague5:48
xG 0.11–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Pietrangelo – McNabb2:13
xG 0.03–0.05 (36%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
Edmonton Oilers
Forward lines
- bestHyman – Nugent-Hopkins – Puljujarvi8:14
xG 0.43–0.20 (69%)attempts 11–6goals 0–1
- Kane – Kassian – McLeod3:36
xG 0.18–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–0goals 0–0
- Draisaitl – McDavid – Yamamoto4:32
xG 0.29–0.24 (54%)attempts 6–4goals 0–1
- Kassian – Draisaitl – McLeod6:40
xG 0.30–0.28 (51%)attempts 8–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBarrie – Lagesson9:39
xG 0.41–0.35 (54%)attempts 15–9goals 0–0
- Nurse – Bouchard18:29
xG 0.83–0.98 (46%)attempts 19–19goals 0–2
- Keith – Ceci16:23
xG 0.60–0.85 (41%)attempts 14–13goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
EDM's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line EDM is favoured, below it VGK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 52% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (EDM − VGK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).