Mon, Jan 17, 2022·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Los Angeles Kings 2, San Jose Sharks 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 79% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 115 | 015 | 111 | 241 |
| SJS | 48 | 24 | 05 | 617 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:02SJSTimo MeierPPAssists: Brent Burns, Erik Karlsson · Wrist, 0.05 xG0–1
- P1 15:56SJSRudolfs BalcersAssists: Tomas Hertl · Slap, 0.24 xG0–2
- P1 18:48SJSTimo MeierGWGUnassisted · Wrist, 0.08 xG0–3
- P1 19:09SJSTimo MeierAssists: Tomas Hertl · Backhand, 0.14 xG0–4
- P1 19:44LAKAnze KopitarUnassisted · Wrist, 0.09 xG1–4
- P2 1:24SJSTimo MeierPPAssists: Erik Karlsson, Tomas Hertl · Wrist, 0.05 xG1–5
- P2 19:32SJSTimo MeierAssists: Tomas Hertl, Erik Karlsson · Wrist, 0.05 xG1–6
- P3 10:35LAKMikey AndersonAssists: Drew Doughty, Viktor Arvidsson · Tip-in, 0.13 xG2–6
Penalties (8)
- P1 2:35LAKArthur Kaliyev: Holding2 min · PPG
- P2 0:12LAKViktor Arvidsson: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P2 1:31LAKBrendan Lemieux: Fighting5 min
- P2 1:31SJSJeffrey Viel: Fighting5 min
- P2 2:35SJSLane Pederson: High sticking2 min
- P2 7:48SJSTomas Hertl: Hooking2 min
- P2 13:21SJSNoah Gregor: Hooking2 min
- P3 16:55LAKArthur Kaliyev: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bonino won the faceoff against Danault
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestKopitar – Iafallo – Fagemo11:43
xG 0.91–0.30 (75%)attempts 15–9goals 1–1
- Lemieux – Lizotte – Kaliyev10:13
xG 0.56–0.32 (64%)attempts 14–7goals 0–1
- Danault – Arvidsson – Moore9:11
xG 0.38–0.27 (59%)attempts 15–10goals 0–1
- Brown – Kupari – Turcotte12:20
xG 0.25–0.40 (38%)attempts 13–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDoughty – Anderson16:19
xG 0.88–0.40 (69%)attempts 25–8goals 1–2
- Maatta – Roy15:15
xG 1.11–0.72 (61%)attempts 21–16goals 0–2
- Durzi – Bjornfot15:19
xG 0.70–0.35 (66%)attempts 19–12goals 1–0
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- Pederson – Viel – Weatherby8:42
xG 0.14–0.31 (31%)attempts 3–11goals 0–0
- Cogliano – Bonino – Nieto7:42
xG 0.07–0.39 (14%)attempts 4–14goals 0–0
- Hertl – Meier – Balcers10:29
xG 0.82–1.20 (41%)attempts 16–17goals 4–1
- Couture – Dahlen – Gregor10:48
xG 0.03–0.60 (4%)attempts 6–16goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Karlsson – Megna12:11
xG 0.26–0.30 (47%)attempts 9–15goals 1–1
- Burns – Ferraro15:07
xG 0.76–1.07 (42%)attempts 13–17goals 2–1
- Vlasic – Merkley16:35
xG 0.31–1.12 (21%)attempts 8–25goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 79% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).