Mon, Jan 17, 2022·Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle
Chicago Blackhawks 2, Seattle Kraken 3 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 84% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 05 | 216 | 05 | 01 | 0 | 227 |
| SEA | 08 | 110 | 115 | 04 | 2 | 337 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 12:06CHIDominik KubalikAssists: Erik Gustafsson · Wrist, 0.24 xG1–0
- P2 15:01SEAVince DunnAssists: Riley Sheahan, Adam Larsson · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–1
- P2 17:06CHIBrandon HagelPPAssists: Dominik Kubalik, Patrick Kane · Wrist, 0.29 xG2–1
- P3 2:02SEARyan DonatoUnassisted · Wrist, 0.20 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. SEA Jordan Eberle stopped
- 2. CHI Jonathan Toews stopped
- 3. SEA Ryan Donato scored
- 4. CHI Patrick Kane stopped
- 5. SEA Joonas Donskoi scored
Penalties (11)
- P1 4:28CHIDominik Kubalik: Interference2 min
- P1 9:48CHIJujhar Khaira: Cross checking2 min
- P1 18:21SEAWill Borgen: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P1 18:21SEAWill Borgen: Fighting5 min
- P1 18:21CHIMike Hardman: Fighting5 min
- P2 8:31SEAJoonas Donskoi: Interference2 min
- P2 15:49SEAVince Dunn: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 17:28SEAJamie Oleksiak: Hooking2 min
- P3 2:49SEAVince Dunn: Holding the stick2 min
- P3 7:15CHICaleb Jones: Interference2 min
- P3 13:34CHIRiley Stillman: Penalty shot tripping on breakaway0 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Sheahan won the faceoff against Lafferty
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- Khaira – Carpenter – Lafferty3:07
xG 0.14–0.10 (60%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
- Lafferty – Kurashev – Hardman2:21
xG 0.00–0.00 (0%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Kane – Lafferty – Kurashev2:01
xG 0.00–0.02 (0%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Kane – Borgstrom – Hagel2:38
xG 0.00–0.10 (0%)attempts 0–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- McCabe – Stillman3:23
xG 0.10–0.21 (31%)attempts 3–5goals 0–0
- McCabe – Jones10:13
xG 0.11–0.37 (22%)attempts 4–10goals 0–1
- Gustafsson – Stillman7:45
xG 0.32–0.66 (32%)attempts 5–9goals 1–1
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestEberle – Johansson – McCann9:55
xG 0.76–0.30 (71%)attempts 12–9goals 0–0
- Jarnkrok – Gourde – Wennberg9:49
xG 0.58–0.27 (69%)attempts 15–4goals 0–0
- Donskoi – Blackwell – True3:59
xG 0.16–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–0goals 0–0
- Sheahan – Donato – Appleton8:07
xG 0.44–0.30 (60%)attempts 10–3goals 2–1
Defence pairs
- bestOleksiak – Soucy12:30
xG 0.84–0.22 (79%)attempts 17–6goals 0–0
- Giordano – Borgen9:18
xG 0.35–0.04 (90%)attempts 9–3goals 1–0
- Larsson – Dunn12:05
xG 0.72–0.46 (61%)attempts 17–6goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SEA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SEA is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 84% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SEA − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).