Wed, Jan 19, 2022·Honda Center, Anaheim
Colorado Avalanche 2, Anaheim Ducks 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 80% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL | 08 | 19 | 111 | 228 |
| ANA | 011 | 010 | 013 | 034 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 18:29COLSamuel GirardGWGAssists: Nazem Kadri, Andre Burakovsky · Wrist, 0.09 xG1–0
- P3 18:51COLNazem KadriENAssists: J.T. Compher, Devon Toews · Wrist, 0.66 xG2–0
Penalties (10)
- P1 4:31ANAJacob Larsson: Holding2 min
- P1 7:37COLErik Johnson: Tripping2 min
- P1 13:03COLKurtis MacDermid: Fighting5 min
- P1 13:03ANANicolas Deslauriers: Fighting5 min
- P1 16:50COLTyson Jost: Hooking2 min
- P2 6:08COLNazem Kadri: Hooking2 min
- P2 12:04ANAGreg Pateryn: Slashing2 min
- P3 6:32COLMikko Rantanen: Interference2 min
- P3 8:49COLMikko Rantanen: Slashing2 min
- P3 8:49ANANicolas Deslauriers: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00MacKinnon won the faceoff against Lundeström
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Colorado Avalanche
Forward lines
- bestLandeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen16:13
xG 0.86–0.49 (64%)attempts 12–12goals 0–0
- Kadri – Burakovsky – O'Connor9:03
xG 0.55–0.41 (57%)attempts 12–13goals 1–0
- Compher – Aube-Kubel – Newhook5:12
xG 0.07–0.38 (15%)attempts 2–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestJohnson – Johnson2:01
xG 0.27–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- Toews – Makar9:44
xG 0.44–0.25 (64%)attempts 7–9goals 0–0
- Girard – Makar5:54
xG 0.45–0.29 (61%)attempts 6–7goals 0–0
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestSteel – Lettieri – Comtois6:13
xG 0.45–0.05 (90%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
- Getzlaf – Rakell – Zegras11:16
xG 0.55–0.36 (61%)attempts 14–8goals 0–1
- Grant – Silfverberg – Lundeström9:22
xG 0.32–0.42 (43%)attempts 11–7goals 0–0
- Deslauriers – Carrick – Robinson6:15
xG 0.12–0.27 (31%)attempts 4–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestPateryn – Guhle7:16
xG 0.45–0.03 (94%)attempts 10–5goals 0–0
- Shattenkirk – Larsson12:25
xG 0.58–0.37 (61%)attempts 15–10goals 0–1
- Lindholm – Drysdale14:52
xG 0.45–0.78 (36%)attempts 10–15goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it COL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 80% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − COL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).