Thu, Jan 20, 2022·Rogers Place, Edmonton
Florida Panthers 6, Edmonton Oilers 0
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 63% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | 07 | 26 | 415 | 628 |
| EDM | 017 | 012 | 011 | 040 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 5:28FLAAleksander BarkovPPGWGAssists: Sam Reinhart, Jonathan Huberdeau · Slap, 0.16 xG1–0
- P2 8:07FLACarter VerhaegheAssists: Sam Reinhart, Brandon Montour · Snap, 0.08 xG2–0
- P3 7:13FLAAleksander BarkovAssists: Radko Gudas · Wrist, 0.04 xG3–0
- P3 15:40FLAAnthony DuclairPPAssists: Sam Reinhart, Aleksander Barkov · Backhand, 0.20 xG4–0
- P3 16:54FLASam BennettPPAssists: Owen Tippett, Anton Lundell · Backhand, 0.11 xG5–0
- P3 18:16FLAOwen TippettAssists: Maxim Mamin · Slap, 0.13 xG6–0
Penalties (8)
- P1 9:00FLABrandon Montour: Slashing2 min
- P1 13:11EDMDuncan Keith: Tripping2 min
- P2 4:53EDMColton Sceviour: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P2 12:24FLAMacKenzie Weegar: Interference2 min
- P3 9:29EDMKris Russell: Elbowing2 min
- P3 12:23FLARadko Gudas: Holding2 min
- P3 15:05EDMDuncan Keith: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P3 16:14EDMBrendan Perlini: Interference goalkeeper2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Draisaitl won the faceoff against Barkov
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Florida Panthers
Forward lines
- bestVerhaeghe – Barkov – Reinhart8:23
xG 0.32–0.24 (58%)attempts 9–11goals 2–0
- Marchment – Lomberg – Luostarinen8:41
xG 0.13–0.30 (31%)attempts 6–9goals 0–0
- Huberdeau – Duclair – Bennett10:27
xG 0.32–0.80 (29%)attempts 11–15goals 0–0
- Mamin – Tippett – Lundell8:44
xG 0.36–0.92 (28%)attempts 8–21goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestCarlsson – Kiersted8:37
xG 0.29–0.24 (55%)attempts 7–7goals 0–0
- Gudas – Montour14:19
xG 0.70–0.97 (42%)attempts 16–20goals 2–0
- Weegar – Ekblad15:30
xG 0.39–0.94 (29%)attempts 15–28goals 1–0
Edmonton Oilers
Forward lines
- bestDraisaitl – McDavid – Puljujarvi2:17
xG 0.30–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–1goals 0–0
- Perlini – McDavid – Yamamoto11:37
xG 0.67–0.42 (62%)attempts 12–14goals 0–1
- Kassian – Benson – McLeod9:17
xG 0.44–0.35 (55%)attempts 14–9goals 0–1
- Draisaitl – Foegele – Puljujarvi10:42
xG 0.56–0.53 (52%)attempts 17–12goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestRussell – Bouchard10:58
xG 0.62–0.41 (60%)attempts 15–10goals 0–1
- Ceci – Nurse17:10
xG 0.63–0.44 (59%)attempts 21–16goals 0–2
- Keith – Barrie14:29
xG 0.74–0.87 (46%)attempts 19–18goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
EDM's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line EDM is favoured, below it FLA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 63% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (EDM − FLA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).