Thu, Jan 20, 2022·Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle
San Jose Sharks 2, Seattle Kraken 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 68% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 18 | 012 | 15 | 225 |
| SEA | 06 | 26 | 15 | 317 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:38SJSTomas HertlAssists: Alexander Barabanov · Snap, 0.22 xG1–0
- P2 4:18SEACarson SoucyAssists: Mark Giordano, Mason Appleton · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–1
- P2 8:25SEACarson SoucyAssists: Alexander Wennberg · Wrist, 0.09 xG1–2
- P3 6:27SEACalle JarnkrokGWGAssists: Morgan Geekie, Mark Giordano · Wrist, 0.17 xG1–3
- P3 9:37SJSTimo MeierPPAssists: Logan Couture, Tomas Hertl · Wrist, 0.09 xG2–3
Penalties (11)
- P1 12:47SJSErik Karlsson: Holding2 min
- P2 8:30SJSJeffrey Viel: High sticking2 min
- P2 10:24SJSLogan Couture: Hooking2 min
- P2 15:04SJSAdam Raska: Fighting5 min
- P2 15:04SEAMark Giordano: Fighting5 min
- P2 15:04SEACarson Soucy: Cross checking2 min
- P3 2:47SEACarson Soucy: Slashing2 min
- P3 9:00SEAJeremy Lauzon: Holding2 min · PPG
- P3 10:09SEAJeremy Lauzon: High sticking2 min
- P3 12:14SEAMarcus Johansson: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P3 18:53SEAMason Appleton: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hertl won the faceoff against Wennberg
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestHertl – Meier – Barabanov13:07
xG 1.04–0.36 (74%)attempts 19–9goals 1–0
- Couture – Dahlen – Gregor9:00
xG 0.17–0.08 (68%)attempts 4–4goals 0–1
- Viel – Weatherby – Raska7:11
xG 0.17–0.19 (47%)attempts 5–7goals 0–0
- Cogliano – Bonino – Nieto8:06
xG 0.15–0.35 (30%)attempts 3–4goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestVlasic – Merkley9:03
xG 0.49–0.03 (93%)attempts 8–2goals 0–0
- Burns – Ferraro11:03
xG 0.35–0.15 (69%)attempts 7–8goals 0–0
- Burns – Karlsson2:56
xG 0.06–0.08 (41%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestJohansson – Jarnkrok – Wennberg4:41
xG 0.17–0.11 (61%)attempts 3–5goals 1–0
- Sheahan – Donato – Appleton6:53
xG 0.08–0.06 (57%)attempts 5–2goals 1–0
- Eberle – Johansson – McCann4:09
xG 0.16–0.16 (50%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
- Eberle – Gourde – McCann8:01
xG 0.28–0.34 (46%)attempts 6–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGiordano – Soucy9:32
xG 0.58–0.21 (74%)attempts 8–3goals 3–0
- Larsson – Soucy2:51
xG 0.00–0.08 (0%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
- Lauzon – Borgen10:43
xG 0.27–0.36 (43%)attempts 7–10goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SEA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SEA is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 68% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SEA − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).