Fri, Jan 21, 2022·United Center, Chicago
Minnesota Wild 5, Chicago Blackhawks 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 67% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 310 | 29 | 011 | 530 |
| CHI | 012 | 015 | 19 | 136 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:58MINMarcus FolignoAssists: Calen Addison · Wrist, 0.29 xG1–0
- P1 4:07MINRyan HartmanGWGAssists: Kirill Kaprizov, Mats Zuccarello · Wrist, 0.11 xG2–0
- P1 17:12MINRyan HartmanAssists: Mats Zuccarello, Kirill Kaprizov · Slap, 0.06 xG3–0
- P2 12:05MINCalen AddisonAssists: Marcus Foligno, Jon Merrill · Slap, 0.03 xG4–0
- P2 16:26MINBrandon DuhaimeAssists: Kevin Fiala, Dmitry Kulikov · Wrist, 0.08 xG5–0
- P3 14:57CHIDylan StromeAssists: Patrick Kane, Brandon Hagel · Snap, 0.07 xG5–1
Penalties (11)
- P1 0:22MINMarcus Foligno: Tripping2 min
- P1 8:06MINMats Zuccarello: Hooking2 min
- P1 12:42MINBrandon Duhaime: Fighting5 min
- P1 12:42CHIRiley Stillman: Fighting5 min
- P1 12:42MINConnor Dewar: Fighting5 min
- P1 12:42CHIMacKenzie Entwistle: Fighting5 min
- P1 12:42CHIMacKenzie Entwistle: Game misconduct10 min
- P1 12:42MINConnor Dewar: Game misconduct10 min
- P2 3:17CHIJonathan Toews: High sticking2 min
- P2 7:50MINMats Zuccarello: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P3 1:49CHIRyan Carpenter: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Lafferty won the faceoff against Eriksson Ek
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Minnesota Wild
Forward lines
- bestGaudreau – Fiala – Boldy12:41
xG 1.08–0.45 (70%)attempts 19–16goals 0–1
- Foligno – Greenway – Eriksson Ek9:45
xG 0.22–0.17 (57%)attempts 8–6goals 1–0
- Zuccarello – Hartman – Kaprizov13:01
xG 0.30–0.29 (51%)attempts 11–17goals 2–0
Defence pairs
- bestMerrill – Addison13:45
xG 0.98–0.44 (69%)attempts 13–16goals 3–1
- Benn – Dumba14:55
xG 0.76–0.23 (77%)attempts 21–10goals 1–0
- Goligoski – Kulikov16:04
xG 0.60–0.34 (64%)attempts 15–18goals 1–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestKubalik – Kurashev – Dach6:08
xG 0.13–0.06 (69%)attempts 5–6goals 0–0
- Toews – Carpenter – DeBrincat2:56
xG 0.14–0.08 (65%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Kane – Strome – Hagel15:07
xG 0.54–0.56 (49%)attempts 19–9goals 1–0
- Carpenter – Lafferty – Hardman5:57
xG 0.13–0.17 (43%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMurphy – Gustafsson3:39
xG 0.27–0.08 (77%)attempts 10–3goals 0–0
- de Haan – Gustafsson3:38
xG 0.17–0.03 (86%)attempts 3–1goals 0–1
- Gustafsson – Stillman3:49
xG 0.09–0.07 (55%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it MIN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 67% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − MIN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).