Fri, Jan 21, 2022·Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle
St. Louis Blues 5, Seattle Kraken 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 77% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL | 212 | 012 | 37 | 531 |
| SEA | 07 | 015 | 05 | 027 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 5:54STLTyler BozakSHGWGAssists: Brandon Saad, Marco Scandella · Wrist, 0.08 xG1–0
- P1 10:23STLBrayden SchennPPAssists: Ryan O'Reilly, David Perron · Wrist, 0.17 xG2–0
- P3 0:24STLPavel BuchnevichAssists: Torey Krug, Vladimir Tarasenko · Snap, 0.09 xG3–0
- P3 7:40STLColton ParaykoUnassisted · Wrist, 0.24 xG4–0
- P3 9:31STLJordan KyrouAssists: Robert Thomas, Brandon Saad · Backhand, 0.17 xG5–0
Penalties (13)
- P1 4:11STLDavid Perron: Illegal check to head2 min
- P1 9:25SEAAdam Larsson: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG
- P1 12:07STLNiko Mikkola: Holding2 min
- P1 13:32SEAVince Dunn: Tripping2 min
- P2 6:58STLRobert Bortuzzo: Charging2 min
- P2 16:49SEAMark Giordano: Tripping2 min
- P3 3:06STLJustin Faulk: Slashing2 min
- P3 7:40SEAJordan Eberle: Penalty shot hooking on breakaway0 min
- P3 11:44STLOskar Sundqvist: Roughing2 min
- P3 11:44SEAHaydn Fleury: Cross checking2 min
- P3 13:24STLJordan Kyrou: Roughing2 min
- P3 13:24SEAVince Dunn: Roughing2 min
- P3 14:35SEAWill Borgen: Cross checking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00McCann won the faceoff against Barbashev
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
St. Louis Blues
Forward lines
- bestTarasenko – Buchnevich – Barbashev9:54
xG 0.50–0.11 (82%)attempts 7–9goals 1–0
- Saad – Kyrou – Thomas8:42
xG 0.36–0.07 (83%)attempts 11–5goals 1–0
- Perron – O'Reilly – Schenn8:39
xG 0.16–0.09 (63%)attempts 3–8goals 0–0
- Bozak – Sundqvist – Kostin7:54
xG 0.27–0.36 (44%)attempts 7–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestParayko – Mikkola16:50
xG 0.76–0.13 (86%)attempts 15–10goals 0–0
- Faulk – Krug13:59
xG 0.72–0.41 (64%)attempts 13–18goals 2–0
- Bortuzzo – Scandella9:27
xG 0.22–0.16 (59%)attempts 5–9goals 0–0
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestJohansson – Jarnkrok – Wennberg3:21
xG 0.09–0.00 (100%)attempts 7–2goals 0–0
- Sheahan – Donato – Appleton6:39
xG 0.05–0.13 (29%)attempts 7–8goals 0–0
- Eberle – Johansson – Wennberg6:44
xG 0.03–0.16 (16%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Donskoi – Blackwell – Geekie6:48
xG 0.37–0.50 (42%)attempts 7–8goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Fleury – Borgen13:31
xG 0.30–0.35 (46%)attempts 13–11goals 0–0
- Giordano – Soucy8:02
xG 0.11–0.42 (21%)attempts 9–5goals 0–0
- Larsson – Dunn11:58
xG 0.22–0.98 (18%)attempts 12–13goals 0–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SEA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SEA is favoured, below it STL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 77% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SEA − STL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).