Sat, Jan 22, 2022·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul
Chicago Blackhawks 3, Minnesota Wild 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 63% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 217 | 09 | 18 | 02 | 336 |
| MIN | 18 | 020 | 214 | 12 | 444 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 9:51CHIHenrik BorgstromAssists: Erik Gustafsson · Tip-in, 0.12 xG1–0
- P1 17:07CHIAlex DeBrincatPPAssists: Seth Jones, Dylan Strome · Slap, 0.10 xG2–0
- P1 19:30MINJoel Eriksson EkPPAssists: Mats Zuccarello, Jared Spurgeon · Wrist, 0.31 xG2–1
- P3 10:45MINKirill KaprizovPPAssists: Mats Zuccarello, Jared Spurgeon · Wrist, 0.09 xG2–2
- P3 12:03CHIHenrik BorgstromAssists: MacKenzie Entwistle, Ryan Carpenter · Wrist, 0.15 xG3–2
- P3 17:56MINKevin FialaAssists: Jordan Greenway, Alex Goligoski · Backhand, 0.20 xG3–3
- OT 4:22MINMarcus FolignoGWGAssists: Jordan Greenway, Alex Goligoski · Wrist, 0.11 xG3–4
Penalties (8)
- P1 15:38MINKirill Kaprizov: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P1 19:23CHIErik Gustafsson: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 5:59CHIPhilipp Kurashev: Tripping2 min
- P2 16:55CHIJake McCabe: Interference2 min
- P3 7:34CHIJonathan Toews: Hooking2 min
- P3 7:34CHIJonathan Toews: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- OT 0:43MINKirill Kaprizov: High sticking2 min
- OT 0:43CHIPatrick Kane: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Eriksson Ek won the faceoff against Dach
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestKubalik – Kurashev – Dach11:17
xG 0.55–0.34 (62%)attempts 12–7goals 0–0
- Carpenter – Borgstrom – Entwistle6:46
xG 0.44–0.28 (62%)attempts 5–11goals 2–0
- Toews – Lafferty – DeBrincat12:14
xG 0.35–0.27 (57%)attempts 11–13goals 0–0
- Kane – Strome – Hagel14:12
xG 0.55–0.80 (41%)attempts 16–21goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestde Haan – Murphy12:31
xG 0.66–0.21 (76%)attempts 19–11goals 0–0
- Murphy – Gustafsson3:39
xG 0.23–0.00 (99%)attempts 4–2goals 1–0
- Jones – Jones2:38
xG 0.17–0.00 (100%)attempts 7–0goals 0–0
Minnesota Wild
Forward lines
- bestFoligno – Greenway – Eriksson Ek13:10
xG 0.61–0.20 (75%)attempts 16–8goals 0–0
- Duhaime – Dewar – Sturm6:14
xG 0.39–0.18 (69%)attempts 13–11goals 0–0
- Zuccarello – Hartman – Kaprizov11:18
xG 0.46–0.74 (38%)attempts 15–9goals 0–1
- Gaudreau – Fiala – Boldy11:23
xG 0.36–0.65 (35%)attempts 7–15goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestGoligoski – Spurgeon16:08
xG 0.74–0.24 (76%)attempts 24–7goals 0–0
- Benn – Dumba17:02
xG 0.61–0.91 (40%)attempts 15–18goals 0–2
- Kulikov – Merrill12:53
xG 0.25–0.93 (21%)attempts 12–20goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
MIN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line MIN is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 63% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (MIN − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).