Sun, Jan 23, 2022·Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle
Florida Panthers 3, Seattle Kraken 5
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 60% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | 18 | 211 | 012 | 331 |
| SEA | 013 | 310 | 26 | 529 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:57FLAAnthony DuclairAssists: Jonathan Huberdeau, Aaron Ekblad · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–0
- P2 5:02SEAMarcus JohanssonAssists: Mark Giordano, Jared McCann · Snap, 0.10 xG1–1
- P2 10:02SEAYanni GourdeAssists: Adam Larsson, Ryan Donato · Slap, 0.03 xG1–2
- P2 10:19SEAColin BlackwellAssists: Mason Appleton, Riley Sheahan · Deflected, 0.18 xG1–3
- P2 12:32FLAJonathan HuberdeauPPAssists: Aaron Ekblad, Aleksander Barkov · Wrist, 0.03 xG2–3
- P2 14:07FLAAleksander BarkovAssists: Jonathan Huberdeau · Wrist, 0.07 xG3–3
- P3 0:26SEAMason AppletonGWGAssists: Alexander Wennberg, Vince Dunn · Wrist, 0.09 xG3–4
- P3 19:41SEACalle JarnkrokENUnassisted · Wrist, 0.79 xG3–5
Penalties (9)
- P1 11:48FLASam Bennett: Tripping2 min
- P1 16:47FLAAaron Ekblad: Slashing2 min
- P2 6:42FLAFrank Vatrano: Illegal check to head2 min
- P2 7:44FLAJonathan Huberdeau: Boarding2 min
- P2 11:11SEAMorgan Geekie: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P2 15:10SEAJeremy Lauzon: Holding2 min
- P2 18:26FLARadko Gudas: Fighting5 min
- P2 18:26SEAYanni Gourde: Fighting5 min
- P3 19:51SEAMason Appleton: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Gourde won the faceoff against Barkov
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Florida Panthers
Forward lines
- bestHuberdeau – Duclair – Barkov5:52
xG 0.35–0.20 (63%)attempts 7–4goals 1–1
- Vatrano – Tippett – Lundell5:13
xG 0.13–0.01 (96%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Verhaeghe – Bennett – Tippett2:13
xG 0.07–0.04 (66%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Verhaeghe – Barkov – Reinhart5:03
xG 0.20–0.28 (42%)attempts 3–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestEkblad – Montour2:53
xG 0.28–0.00 (100%)attempts 12–0goals 0–0
- Weegar – Ekblad13:42
xG 0.91–0.84 (52%)attempts 14–14goals 0–2
- Gudas – Montour2:51
xG 0.08–0.14 (38%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestSheahan – Blackwell – Kuhlman5:02
xG 0.46–0.13 (78%)attempts 9–1goals 0–0
- Eberle – Johansson – McCann9:29
xG 0.76–0.45 (63%)attempts 12–11goals 1–0
- Jarnkrok – Gourde – Appleton7:51
xG 0.33–0.21 (62%)attempts 8–5goals 0–1
- Blackwell – Wennberg – Kuhlman2:26
xG 0.19–0.15 (56%)attempts 5–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGiordano – Soucy3:43
xG 0.38–0.09 (81%)attempts 6–3goals 0–1
- Larsson – Dunn7:45
xG 0.61–0.32 (65%)attempts 13–7goals 2–1
- Giordano – Lauzon4:00
xG 0.49–0.29 (63%)attempts 8–2goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SEA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SEA is favoured, below it FLA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 60% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SEA − FLA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).