Mon, Jan 24, 2022·Madison Square Garden, New York
Los Angeles Kings 2, New York Rangers 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 71% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 011 | 212 | 011 | 02 | 2 | 236 |
| NYR | 13 | 012 | 110 | 05 | 3 | 330 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 19:58NYRChris KreiderPPAssists: Adam Fox, Artemi Panarin · Tip-in, 0.26 xG0–1
- P2 11:55LAKBlake LizotteAssists: Mikey Anderson, Trevor Moore · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–1
- P2 19:21LAKAlex IafalloPPAssists: Anze Kopitar, Adrian Kempe · Backhand, 0.09 xG2–1
- P3 14:15NYRBarclay GoodrowAssists: Artemi Panarin, Ryan Strome · Tip-in, 0.04 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. LAK Adrian Kempe stopped
- 2. NYR Chris Kreider stopped
- 3. LAK Viktor Arvidsson stopped
- 4. NYR Mika Zibanejad stopped
- 5. LAK Anze Kopitar scored
- 6. NYR Artemi Panarin scored
- 7. LAK Alex Iafallo stopped
- 8. NYR Ryan Strome stopped
- 9. LAK Quinton Byfield scored
- 10. NYR Alexis Lafrenière scored
- 11. LAK Arthur Kaliyev stopped
- 12. NYR Adam Fox scored
Penalties (9)
- P1 10:25NYRJacob Trouba: High sticking2 min
- P1 16:22LAKBrendan Lemieux: Boarding5 min · PPG
- P1 16:22LAKBrendan Lemieux: Game misconduct10 min
- P1 16:22NYRRyan Lindgren: Cross checking2 min
- P2 14:28LAKPhillip Danault: Tripping2 min
- P2 18:41NYRBarclay Goodrow: High sticking double minor4 min · PPG
- P3 6:01LAKOlli Maatta: High sticking2 min
- P3 8:56NYRAlexis Lafrenière: Boarding2 min
- P3 18:46LAKAdrian Kempe: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Strome won the faceoff against Danault
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestBrown – Grundstrom – Byfield6:30
xG 0.22–0.12 (66%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Lemieux – Lizotte – Kaliyev2:12
xG 0.00–0.03 (0%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Kopitar – Kempe – Iafallo8:50
xG 0.13–0.25 (33%)attempts 8–7goals 0–1
- Danault – Arvidsson – Moore11:09
xG 0.18–0.41 (30%)attempts 8–13goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDurzi – Bjornfot10:25
xG 0.58–0.11 (84%)attempts 13–4goals 0–0
- Doughty – Anderson15:39
xG 0.35–0.43 (45%)attempts 13–7goals 1–0
- Maatta – Roy14:12
xG 0.36–0.51 (41%)attempts 17–16goals 0–1
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestStrome – Goodrow – Panarin9:16
xG 0.56–0.42 (57%)attempts 14–14goals 1–0
- Hunt – Gauthier – Barron5:43
xG 0.19–0.07 (71%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
- Strome – Goodrow – Lafrenière2:43
xG 0.02–0.01 (68%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Kreider – Zibanejad – Panarin2:30
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHajek – Schneider7:59
xG 0.18–0.10 (64%)attempts 7–8goals 0–0
- Trouba – Miller14:18
xG 0.56–0.52 (52%)attempts 12–14goals 1–0
- Fox – Lindgren12:58
xG 0.33–0.65 (34%)attempts 9–17goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 71% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYR − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).