Wed, Jan 26, 2022·Ball Arena, Denver
Boston Bruins 3, Colorado Avalanche 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 60% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 013 | 312 | 07 | 00 | 332 |
| COL | 18 | 012 | 218 | 13 | 441 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 11:25COLKurtis MacDermidAssists: Andre Burakovsky, Valeri Nichushkin · Wrist, 0.03 xG0–1
- P2 7:10BOSJake DeBruskAssists: Charlie McAvoy · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–1
- P2 12:16BOSCharlie CoylePPAssists: Charlie McAvoy, Patrice Bergeron · Backhand, 0.26 xG2–1
- P2 13:31BOSBrad MarchandAssists: David Pastrnak · Wrist, 0.04 xG3–1
- P3 11:46COLSamuel GirardAssists: Cale Makar, Nazem Kadri · Wrist, 0.01 xG3–2
- P3 19:23COLGabriel LandeskogAssists: Nazem Kadri, Valeri Nichushkin · Snap, 0.13 xG3–3
- OT 3:01COLCale MakarPPGWGAssists: Nazem Kadri, Gabriel Landeskog · Wrist, 0.09 xG3–4
Penalties (12)
- P1 2:22BOSTaylor Hall: Interference2 min
- P1 5:29COLKurtis MacDermid: Cross checking2 min
- P1 12:48BOSCharlie McAvoy: Tripping2 min
- P1 19:42COLNicolas Aube-Kubel: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 5:52BOSAnton Blidh: Roughing2 min
- P2 5:52COLTyson Jost: Roughing2 min
- P2 10:29COLAndre Burakovsky: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 10:29BOSOskar Steen: Roughing2 min
- P2 10:29COLSamuel Girard: Roughing2 min
- P2 11:29COLErik Johnson: Cross checking2 min
- P2 15:33BOSTomas Nosek: Interference2 min
- OT 1:14BOSMike Reilly: Tripping2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00MacKinnon won the faceoff against Bergeron
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestCoyle – DeBrusk – Steen7:38
xG 0.37–0.08 (82%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
- Bergeron – Marchand – Smith8:35
xG 0.42–0.19 (69%)attempts 10–7goals 0–0
- Blidh – Lazar – Nosek7:22
xG 0.04–0.64 (5%)attempts 2–15goals 0–2
- Haula – Hall – Pastrnak9:35
xG 0.13–0.80 (14%)attempts 7–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMcAvoy – Vaakanainen13:31
xG 0.54–0.45 (54%)attempts 9–10goals 1–1
- Forbort – McAvoy2:05
xG 0.05–0.07 (42%)attempts 1–5goals 0–1
- Forbort – Clifton7:45
xG 0.28–0.34 (45%)attempts 9–8goals 0–0
Colorado Avalanche
Forward lines
- bestBurakovsky – Nichushkin – Newhook4:27
xG 0.19–0.08 (71%)attempts 2–5goals 0–0
- Kadri – Landeskog – Rantanen10:38
xG 0.39–0.73 (35%)attempts 11–11goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestToews – Makar11:07
xG 0.52–0.16 (76%)attempts 11–6goals 0–0
- Johnson – Girard8:43
xG 0.36–0.20 (64%)attempts 6–8goals 0–0
- Johnson – Toews3:19
xG 0.11–0.11 (50%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
COL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line COL is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 60% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (COL − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).