Thu, Jan 27, 2022·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
New York Rangers 3, Columbus Blue Jackets 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 71% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 28 | 08 | 120 | 336 |
| CBJ | 25 | 211 | 13 | 519 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:29NYRArtemi PanarinAssists: Adam Fox, Ryan Lindgren · Wrist, 0.02 xG1–0
- P1 4:44NYRBarclay GoodrowAssists: Braden Schneider, Artemi Panarin · Tip-in, 0.12 xG2–0
- P1 5:49CBJGustav NyquistAssists: Patrik Laine, Boone Jenner · Tip-in, 0.11 xG2–1
- P1 7:28CBJBoone JennerPPAssists: Zach Werenski, Oliver Bjorkstrand · Tip-in, 0.09 xG2–2
- P2 6:18CBJSean KuralyAssists: Max Domi, Zach Werenski · Tip-in, 0.06 xG2–3
- P2 12:27CBJBoone JennerGWGAssists: Patrik Laine · Wrist, 0.12 xG2–4
- P3 7:12NYRMika ZibanejadPPAssists: Artemi Panarin, Braden Schneider · Slap, 0.09 xG3–4
- P3 17:46CBJSean KuralyENAssists: Zach Werenski · Wrist, 0.61 xG3–5
Penalties (5)
- P1 6:40NYRBarclay Goodrow: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 14:39NYRRyan Lindgren: Holding2 min
- P3 5:55CBJJake Bean: Holding2 min · PPG
- P3 8:23CBJJake Bean: Interference2 min
- P3 18:19CBJGustav Nyquist: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zibanejad won the faceoff against Kuraly
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestStrome – Goodrow – Panarin13:59
xG 1.35–0.51 (73%)attempts 18–9goals 2–1
- Reaves – Rooney – Barron2:59
xG 0.22–0.01 (94%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Kreider – Zibanejad – Gauthier9:48
xG 0.35–0.22 (61%)attempts 8–10goals 0–0
- Reaves – McKegg – Rooney6:12
xG 0.34–0.27 (55%)attempts 3–4goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestTrouba – Miller19:25
xG 1.40–0.34 (80%)attempts 20–12goals 0–1
- Lindgren – Schneider4:47
xG 0.39–0.01 (97%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Hajek – Schneider11:11
xG 0.49–0.21 (70%)attempts 9–7goals 1–0
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- Domi – Roslovic – Bemstrom8:21
xG 0.23–0.23 (50%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- Kuraly – Robinson – Chinakhov10:26
xG 0.19–0.36 (34%)attempts 8–8goals 0–1
- Nyquist – Jenner – Laine14:04
xG 0.56–1.02 (35%)attempts 15–13goals 2–0
- Voracek – Bjorkstrand – Sillinger11:41
xG 0.20–0.81 (20%)attempts 4–13goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestGavrikov – Peeke2:49
xG 0.15–0.09 (61%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Werenski – Peeke14:15
xG 0.23–0.62 (27%)attempts 9–15goals 1–1
- Bean – Boqvist11:00
xG 0.21–0.65 (25%)attempts 4–8goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 71% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).