Thu, Jan 27, 2022·Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg
Vancouver Canucks 5, Winnipeg Jets 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 59% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 114 | 214 | 25 | 533 |
| WPG | 110 | 015 | 09 | 134 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 13:23VANJ.T. MillerPPAssists: Brock Boeser, Elias Pettersson · Slap, 0.18 xG1–0
- P1 15:32WPGAndrew CoppAssists: Blake Wheeler, Pierre-Luc Dubois · Slap, 0.20 xG1–1
- P2 5:25VANJ.T. MillerGWGAssists: Brock Boeser, Luke Schenn · Wrist, 0.05 xG2–1
- P2 12:55VANJ.T. MillerAssists: Oliver Ekman-Larsson, Luke Schenn · Wrist, 0.04 xG3–1
- P3 1:08VANBrock BoeserPPAssists: J.T. Miller, Quinn Hughes · Backhand, 0.17 xG4–1
- P3 14:00VANElias PetterssonAssists: Tyler Myers, Brad Hunt · Wrist, 0.04 xG5–1
Penalties (7)
- P1 13:13WPGVille Heinola: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P2 5:36VANMatthew Highmore: Tripping2 min
- P2 7:45VANTyler Myers: Cross checking2 min
- P3 1:01WPGPierre-Luc Dubois: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P3 6:04VANBrock Boeser: Tripping2 min
- P3 8:28VANLuke Schenn: Fighting5 min
- P3 8:28WPGAdam Lowry: Fighting5 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Miller won the faceoff against Dubois
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestMiller – Boeser – Podkolzin10:40
xG 0.78–0.27 (74%)attempts 13–6goals 1–0
- Motte – Lammikko – Highmore10:57
xG 0.45–0.07 (86%)attempts 12–9goals 0–0
- Garland – Pettersson – Hoglander11:33
xG 0.50–0.27 (65%)attempts 15–8goals 0–0
- Chiasson – Dickinson – Bailey7:48
xG 0.15–0.47 (24%)attempts 4–13goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSchenn – Hughes6:25
xG 0.38–0.01 (99%)attempts 12–2goals 0–0
- Myers – Ekman-Larsson10:33
xG 0.54–0.35 (61%)attempts 13–7goals 0–0
- Schenn – Ekman-Larsson3:55
xG 0.20–0.16 (55%)attempts 4–5goals 1–0
Winnipeg Jets
Forward lines
- bestStastny – Harkins – Vesalainen3:08
xG 0.29–0.00 (100%)attempts 7–0goals 0–0
- Stastny – Lowry – Poganski6:44
xG 0.44–0.21 (68%)attempts 5–5goals 0–0
- Connor – Dubois – Perfetti11:18
xG 0.25–0.33 (43%)attempts 10–10goals 0–1
- Harkins – Svechnikov – Vesalainen3:56
xG 0.05–0.20 (20%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDillon – Schmidt8:23
xG 0.52–0.25 (67%)attempts 8–9goals 1–0
- Schmidt – Kovacevic6:12
xG 0.21–0.02 (90%)attempts 8–1goals 0–0
- Dillon – Kovacevic2:22
xG 0.18–0.01 (93%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
WPG's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line WPG is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 59% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (WPG − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).